{ "ticker": { "uuid": "990c0602-eff1-46b9-88ba-a57f082ba076", "symbol": "GOOGL", "name": "Alphabet Inc Class A", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.803, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.446, "architecture_energy": 12.222, "architecture_maturity": 40.888, "architecture_confidence": 86.029, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.59, "rotation_up": 19.39, "upward_expansion": 40.4, "deceleration": 83.71, "rotation_down": 32.81, "downward_expansion": 32.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 347.064, 349.407763, 356.808812, 349.195228 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 354.3, "trend_reference": 339.823769, "distance_from_trend": 0.042599, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 210.480373, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.683292, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.703163, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.098797, "excess_performance": -0.088657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.042599, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047508, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.683292, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.417191, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.007032, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.266447, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.098797, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.24604, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 166397494, "relative_activity": 1.099166, "balance": 0.24604, "dry_up": 1.074707, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078899, "annualized_volatility": 0.397807, "from_high_reference": -0.132389, "from_low_reference": 0.807338 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 339.823769, "fair_value_reference": 210.480373, "structural_low": 271.945325, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.051709, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.020816, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.255377, "worst_return": -0.119425, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.093179, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.004168, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.257839, "worst_return": -0.013352, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.137378, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.052657, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.253353, "worst_return": -0.103545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.121413, "energy": 18.350002, "activity_lines": [ 352.340667, 358.281522, 357.963255, 348.143982 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 319.74, "volume": 188666870, "typical_volume": 147969002.2, "trend": 337.572427, "fair_value": 207.563464, "relative_strength": -2.755601, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -10.654159, "energy": 16.67268, "activity_lines": [ 340.968667, 349.931433, 355.480413, 347.007771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 356.13, "volume": 162151188, "typical_volume": 149811612.3, "trend": 338.951976, "fair_value": 209.03239, "relative_strength": 6.967007, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.307208, "energy": 13.30057, "activity_lines": [ 344.946, 349.594069, 356.360406, 348.205033 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 354.3, "volume": 166397494, "typical_volume": 151385256.75, "trend": 339.823769, "fair_value": 210.480373, "relative_strength": 0.703163, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.446028, "energy": 12.221813, "activity_lines": [ 347.064, 349.407763, 356.808812, 349.195228 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }