{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "990dcdc8-06ae-4773-aed6-235268d9872a",
    "symbol": "MFII11",
    "name": "M\u00e9rito Desenvolvimento Imobili\u00e1rio I FII - Fundo de Investimento Imobili\u00e1rio",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -92.124,
    "architecture_energy": 73.66,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.224,
    "architecture_confidence": 82.125,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.19,
        "rotation_up": 17.59,
        "upward_expansion": 12.0,
        "deceleration": 52.09,
        "rotation_down": 66.99,
        "downward_expansion": 80.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.190667,
        46.262009,
        49.960148,
        54.71766
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 28.6,
    "trend_reference": 60.983793,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.531023,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 68.967178,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.58531,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -57.920569,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.617742,
    "excess_performance": -0.560694,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.531023,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110249,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.58531,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.406001,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.579206,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.26691,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.617742,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.233842,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 445484,
      "relative_activity": 3.32185,
      "balance": 0.233842,
      "dry_up": 1.258702,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.169905,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.803526,
      "from_high_reference": -0.627919,
      "from_low_reference": 0.043796
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 60.983793,
      "fair_value_reference": 68.967178,
      "structural_low": 27.4,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.021619,
        "positive_rate": 0.647059,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.352941,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00576,
        "regime_survival": 0.647059,
        "best_return": 0.129626,
        "worst_return": -0.167724,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.05322,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037977,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.098054,
        "worst_return": -0.50218,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.045323,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026371,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.102918,
        "worst_return": -0.110792,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.146888,
        "worst_return": -0.00557,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
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      },
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.039923,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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        "return": 0.060698,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-03",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 69.398883,
        "relative_strength": -31.188618,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -51.73819,
        "energy": 55.305338,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 128005.45,
        "trend": 63.782496,
        "fair_value": 69.343571,
        "relative_strength": -26.048868,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.381548,
        "energy": 47.377691,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.700001,
        "volume": 72689,
        "typical_volume": 125620.0,
        "trend": 63.125114,
        "fair_value": 69.268263,
        "relative_strength": -28.217956,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.806217,
        "energy": 42.506949,
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          51.092784,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 49.15,
        "volume": 84606,
        "typical_volume": 121140.1,
        "trend": 62.396481,
        "fair_value": 69.183967,
        "relative_strength": -31.114627,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.683754,
        "energy": 45.57217,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.508667,
          50.113401,
          52.638481,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 28.6,
        "volume": 445484,
        "typical_volume": 134107.2,
        "trend": 60.983793,
        "fair_value": 68.967178,
        "relative_strength": -57.920569,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -92.123755,
        "energy": 73.659592,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.190667,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}