{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9920b010-7737-48ca-bfe9-878a3aea53b8", "symbol": "PSTL", "name": "Postal Realty Trust Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.713, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.587, "architecture_energy": 23.891, "architecture_maturity": 62.848, "architecture_confidence": 89.336, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.8, "rotation_up": 26.27, "upward_expansion": 56.28, "deceleration": 90.97, "rotation_down": 27.42, "downward_expansion": 19.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.464, 23.747636, 23.355992, 22.477199 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 23.11, "trend_reference": 21.21854, "distance_from_trend": 0.089142, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.461032, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.598088, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.436863, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.23182, "excess_performance": 0.106195, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.089142, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.151418, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.598088, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106046, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.114369, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.161378, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.23182, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.615311, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1774102, "relative_activity": 1.221397, "balance": 0.615311, "dry_up": 0.855386, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060662, "annualized_volatility": 0.286245, "from_high_reference": -0.083664, "from_low_reference": 0.687862 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.21854, "fair_value_reference": 14.461032, "structural_low": 17.82742, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.005727, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.023791, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.168687, "worst_return": -0.08617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.049893, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.017612, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.32145, "worst_return": -0.09764, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.050296, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.001501, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.352189, "worst_return": -0.054148, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 1486859.45, "trend": 20.460051, "fair_value": 14.247521, "relative_strength": 23.137732, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.002791, "energy": 55.819628, "activity_lines": [ 24.253333, 23.940727, 22.983081, 21.962734 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 24.0, "volume": 914082, "typical_volume": 1446329.75, "trend": 20.736258, "fair_value": 14.322339, "relative_strength": 22.62686, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.323149, "energy": 48.980953, "activity_lines": [ 24.208667, 24.000545, 23.186305, 22.191118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.04, "volume": 1162529, "typical_volume": 1443127.3, "trend": 20.979488, "fair_value": 14.391649, "relative_strength": 15.653021, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.676998, "energy": 32.7312, "activity_lines": [ 23.763333, 23.861818, 23.277329, 22.339746 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.11, "volume": 1774102, "typical_volume": 1452519.25, "trend": 21.21854, "fair_value": 14.461032, "relative_strength": 11.436863, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.586976, "energy": 23.890666, "activity_lines": [ 23.464, 23.747636, 23.355992, 22.477199 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }