{ "ticker": { "uuid": "992182d0-8283-48ad-99cc-d59ff466b995", "symbol": "6542", "name": "Gamesparcs Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 82.054, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.683, "architecture_energy": 21.671, "architecture_maturity": 49.785, "architecture_confidence": 81.446, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.14, "rotation_up": 24.82, "upward_expansion": 17.72, "deceleration": 44.9, "rotation_down": 34.94, "downward_expansion": 58.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 46.356666, 46.267695, 46.772869, 47.932794 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 44.549999, "trend_reference": 49.094433, "distance_from_trend": -0.092565, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 53.357394, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.165064, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.291066, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.142884, "excess_performance": -0.584256, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092565, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006677, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.165064, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017095, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.352911, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0457, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.142884, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.497908, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28000, "relative_activity": 0.531966, "balance": 0.497908, "dry_up": 0.717432, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074922, "annualized_volatility": 0.28471, "from_high_reference": -0.238119, "from_low_reference": 0.090575 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.094433, "fair_value_reference": 53.357394, "structural_low": 40.849998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.009431, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.037284, "regime_survival": 0.708333, "best_return": 0.348066, "worst_return": -0.110507, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.016287, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.0032, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.369231, "worst_return": -0.164745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.05439, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.173079, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.151858, "worst_return": -0.2257, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 82266.3, "trend": 49.327241, "fair_value": 53.61043, "relative_strength": -29.961866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.429164, "energy": 33.418943, "activity_lines": [ 46.07528, 46.35011, 47.426425, 48.477994 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 47.5, "volume": 32000, "typical_volume": 79666.3, "trend": 49.264647, "fair_value": 53.52855, "relative_strength": -29.020473, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.235712, "energy": 24.717934, "activity_lines": [ 46.6, 46.526051, 47.294078, 48.360108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 47.299999, "volume": 43000, "typical_volume": 60885.2, "trend": 49.208714, "fair_value": 53.444169, "relative_strength": -29.990989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.944842, "energy": 17.352877, "activity_lines": [ 46.976666, 46.656153, 47.147103, 48.233356 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 44.549999, "volume": 28000, "typical_volume": 52634.95, "trend": 49.094433, "fair_value": 53.357394, "relative_strength": -35.291066, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.683469, "energy": 21.670795, "activity_lines": [ 46.356666, 46.267695, 46.772869, 47.932794 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }