{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "99377804-bf18-49ab-801d-7c8bcfb259d3",
    "symbol": "ZVC",
    "name": "BMO MSCI Canada Value Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.106,
    "architecture_energy": 87.547,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.806,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.495,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 2.94,
        "rotation_up": 82.15,
        "upward_expansion": 97.57,
        "deceleration": 40.75,
        "rotation_down": 12.58,
        "downward_expansion": 19.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        44.651333,
        44.119382,
        43.347873,
        42.512913
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 44.93,
    "trend_reference": 41.407395,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.085072,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.105212,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.444452,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.266002,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.157088,
    "excess_performance": 0.036667,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085072,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058023,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.444452,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026038,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.03266,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011805,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157088,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.330275,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 25800,
      "relative_activity": 4.682396,
      "balance": 3.330275,
      "dry_up": 2.137024,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014189,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.100738,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010352,
      "from_low_reference": 0.437322
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.407395,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.105212,
      "structural_low": 38.203781,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 44,
        "median_return": 0.012211,
        "positive_rate": 0.681818,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.681818,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003451,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.072498,
        "worst_return": -0.05083,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.035185,
        "positive_rate": 0.8125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009481,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.127582,
        "worst_return": -0.108211,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.071117,
        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007534,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.237354,
        "worst_return": -0.039681,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.118082,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02955,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.316852,
        "worst_return": 0.064982,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006354,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.005871,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "return": -0.001454,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "active": false
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        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 7399.0,
        "trend": 37.936477,
        "fair_value": 29.208825,
        "relative_strength": 4.699448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 78.122039,
        "energy": 88.383652,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 7579.65,
        "trend": 38.151354,
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        "relative_strength": 4.760079,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.292448,
        "energy": 89.437186,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 7143.0,
        "trend": 38.387456,
        "fair_value": 29.444391,
        "relative_strength": 4.446467,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 74.385142,
        "energy": 88.961288,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 41.764362,
        "volume": 2200,
        "typical_volume": 6924.95,
        "trend": 38.620906,
        "fair_value": 29.561265,
        "relative_strength": 5.055153,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.00618,
        "energy": 83.968022,
        "activity_lines": [
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          40.390839,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2300,
        "typical_volume": 6905.0,
        "trend": 38.881556,
        "fair_value": 29.688112,
        "relative_strength": 5.650585,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.994037,
        "energy": 85.373601,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 42.630096,
        "volume": 9400,
        "typical_volume": 7125.0,
        "trend": 39.136568,
        "fair_value": 29.812901,
        "relative_strength": 4.053078,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 74.335392,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 3400,
        "typical_volume": 7090.0,
        "trend": 39.395227,
        "fair_value": 29.938413,
        "relative_strength": 5.044268,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.296125,
        "energy": 76.651007,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.512676,
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          40.447913
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 43.426178,
        "volume": 3200,
        "typical_volume": 6990.0,
        "trend": 39.643281,
        "fair_value": 30.068187,
        "relative_strength": 5.183811,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 84.401523,
        "energy": 87.500013,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 30.199985,
        "relative_strength": 4.134533,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 40.079355,
        "fair_value": 30.322916,
        "relative_strength": 2.957698,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.395796,
        "energy": 78.935566,
        "activity_lines": [
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          41.843242,
          41.107713
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 43.330002,
        "volume": 2700,
        "typical_volume": 5865.0,
        "trend": 40.283413,
        "fair_value": 30.451817,
        "relative_strength": 3.684924,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.578936,
        "energy": 80.509067,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 43.709999,
        "volume": 3400,
        "typical_volume": 5790.0,
        "trend": 40.497484,
        "fair_value": 30.581125,
        "relative_strength": 4.290448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.786108,
        "energy": 81.257798,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.293465,
          43.055681,
          42.283974,
          41.538502
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 44.080002,
        "volume": 8300,
        "typical_volume": 5650.0,
        "trend": 40.717919,
        "fair_value": 30.709882,
        "relative_strength": 5.107772,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.657943,
        "energy": 79.777099,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.573861,
          43.29074,
          42.531133,
          41.769632
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 44.509998,
        "volume": 8900,
        "typical_volume": 4845.0,
        "trend": 40.943403,
        "fair_value": 30.839247,
        "relative_strength": 5.626462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.638918,
        "energy": 86.086639,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.954,
          43.561876,
          42.802674,
          42.014282
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 44.93,
        "volume": 4100,
        "typical_volume": 4535.0,
        "trend": 41.187829,
        "fair_value": 30.972976,
        "relative_strength": 6.828796,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.741975,
        "energy": 90.759432,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.378667,
          43.859457,
          43.089205,
          42.271482
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 44.93,
        "volume": 25800,
        "typical_volume": 5510.0,
        "trend": 41.407395,
        "fair_value": 31.105212,
        "relative_strength": 3.266002,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.106361,
        "energy": 87.547403,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.651333,
          44.119382,
          43.347873,
          42.512913
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}