{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "993c5830-b989-41b1-b073-670bbb16ba83",
    "symbol": "E6R",
    "name": "Le tree Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -68.447,
    "architecture_energy": 35.734,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.974,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.681,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 24.61,
        "rotation_up": 22.86,
        "upward_expansion": 8.37,
        "deceleration": 51.91,
        "rotation_down": 45.83,
        "downward_expansion": 70.37
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.0026,
        0.002673,
        0.002971,
        0.003146
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.002,
    "trend_reference": 0.003333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.4,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.002424,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.174749,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -45.436894,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.5,
    "excess_performance": -0.654835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.4,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056604,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.174749,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.495175,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.454369,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.875745,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.5,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.579906,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 378500,
      "relative_activity": 0.539431,
      "balance": 0.579906,
      "dry_up": 0.416438,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.384615,
      "annualized_volatility": 2.007466,
      "from_high_reference": -0.5,
      "from_low_reference": 1.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.003333,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.002424,
      "structural_low": 0.002,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.325,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016639,
        "regime_survival": 0.85,
        "best_return": 0.499691,
        "worst_return": -0.5333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.083312,
        "positive_rate": 0.076923,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.769231,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106659,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.499691,
        "worst_return": -0.733401,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.200008,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.236385,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 2.0,
        "worst_return": -0.76478,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.210265,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.275568,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.852996,
        "worst_return": -0.800061,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
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        "return": -0.5,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "end": "2025-06-27",
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        "return": -0.5,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
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        "return": 1.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "direction": -26.992155,
        "energy": 27.508382,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": 42.137606,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "volume": 1000000,
        "typical_volume": 2957490.0,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 3137435.0,
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        "relative_strength": 1.215072,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 27.138471,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 3046860.0,
        "trend": 0.003533,
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        "relative_strength": 33.40812,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 7.750942,
        "energy": 5.394142,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0034,
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          0.003548
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.004,
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        "relative_strength": 30.814773,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 29.22639,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 19.434173,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 18.330187,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0034,
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          0.003471,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 0.003533,
        "fair_value": 0.002669,
        "relative_strength": -39.069304,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 50.897955,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.002867,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.002,
        "volume": 1006000,
        "typical_volume": 1134015.0,
        "trend": 0.003467,
        "fair_value": 0.002619,
        "relative_strength": -41.792405,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.091792,
        "energy": 63.350059,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.002467,
          0.002945,
          0.003186,
          0.003325
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.003,
        "volume": 705000,
        "typical_volume": 1112415.0,
        "trend": 0.003467,
        "fair_value": 0.002562,
        "relative_strength": -14.128637,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.728347,
        "energy": 57.530292,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.002533,
          0.002909,
          0.003152,
          0.003295
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.003,
        "volume": 1600,
        "typical_volume": 1110220.0,
        "trend": 0.003433,
        "fair_value": 0.002518,
        "relative_strength": -15.514037,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.575509,
        "energy": 55.750095,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.002667,
          0.002891,
          0.003124,
          0.003265
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.003,
        "volume": 83700,
        "typical_volume": 698645.0,
        "trend": 0.0034,
        "fair_value": 0.002474,
        "relative_strength": -16.852321,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.016542,
        "energy": 29.147474,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0028,
          0.002873,
          0.003095,
          0.003237
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.002,
        "volume": 378500,
        "typical_volume": 701665.0,
        "trend": 0.003333,
        "fair_value": 0.002424,
        "relative_strength": -45.436894,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.447181,
        "energy": 35.734267,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0026,
          0.002673,
          0.002971,
          0.003146
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}