{ "ticker": { "uuid": "994ebe14-d425-404c-bd7c-86621c8773b7", "symbol": "DOD", "name": "Dominion Energy, Inc.", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.877, "architecture_energy": 53.237, "architecture_maturity": 77.339, "architecture_confidence": 65.855, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.35, "rotation_up": 50.0, "upward_expansion": 73.28, "deceleration": 62.67, "rotation_down": 27.17, "downward_expansion": 20.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.522666, 60.736, 58.87983, 57.427459 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 57.959999, "trend_reference": 55.524773, "distance_from_trend": 0.043858, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.259132, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22643, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.358183, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.135909, "excess_performance": 0.07127, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.043858, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068312, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22643, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088099, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.013582, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.02217, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135909, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.062098, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1286, "relative_activity": 4.616765, "balance": 1.062098, "dry_up": 2.538144, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029798, "annualized_volatility": 0.232575, "from_high_reference": -0.082621, "from_low_reference": 0.241197 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.524773, "fair_value_reference": 47.259132, "structural_low": 50.715187, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.289474, "directional_follow_through": 0.289474, "median_excess_return": 0.010197, "regime_survival": 0.684211, "best_return": 0.065734, "worst_return": -0.253599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.013774, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.002946, "regime_survival": 0.933333, "best_return": 0.164937, "worst_return": -0.238338, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.037532, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.009276, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.195742, "worst_return": -0.292328, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 60.774666, 59.456921, 57.029703, 55.736957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.18, "volume": 1139, "typical_volume": 228.85, "trend": 54.306266, "fair_value": 46.902137, "relative_strength": 18.378129, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.650219, "energy": 97.644225, "activity_lines": [ 61.714666, 60.412215, 57.755982, 56.337128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.66, "volume": 206, "typical_volume": 215.0, "trend": 54.83385, "fair_value": 47.035494, "relative_strength": 15.562548, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.238129, "energy": 87.968297, "activity_lines": [ 62.168, 61.072029, 58.382701, 56.876078 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 60.64, "volume": 197, "typical_volume": 219.4, "trend": 55.219748, "fair_value": 47.155903, "relative_strength": 9.161185, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.936873, "energy": 67.360317, "activity_lines": [ 61.781333, 61.173091, 58.77249, 57.250669 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.959999, "volume": 1286, "typical_volume": 278.55, "trend": 55.524773, "fair_value": 47.259132, "relative_strength": 1.358183, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.877015, "energy": 53.23679, "activity_lines": [ 60.522666, 60.736, 58.87983, 57.427459 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }