{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "99602256-41b4-44e1-8068-db637c11e86e",
    "symbol": "EVZ",
    "name": "EVZ Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 41.512,
    "architecture_energy": 22.831,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.973,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 40.81,
        "rotation_up": 26.74,
        "upward_expansion": 55.44,
        "deceleration": 91.05,
        "rotation_down": 27.06,
        "downward_expansion": 19.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.572,
        0.586727,
        0.572833,
        0.515348
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.61,
    "trend_reference": 0.435675,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.400127,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.213922,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.851503,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 72.828446,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.385254,
    "excess_performance": 1.321548,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.400127,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.42788,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.851503,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.164059,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.728284,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.659643,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.385254,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.099224,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 666536,
      "relative_activity": 0.452921,
      "balance": 5.099224,
      "dry_up": 0.624092,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.155422,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.670572,
      "from_high_reference": -0.207792,
      "from_low_reference": 2.876043
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.435675,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.213922,
      "structural_low": 0.243443,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.013101,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.064516,
        "worst_return": -0.151514,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.032258,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037708,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.17857,
        "worst_return": -0.225805,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.013889,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.087382,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.290321,
        "worst_return": -0.11111,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.322579,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.42157,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.476344,
        "worst_return": 0.0,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068965,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.093749,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060606,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.096774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.0625,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058823,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-12",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 2.109806,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.089286,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 1482142.05,
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        "fair_value": 0.205576,
        "relative_strength": 79.414058,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 39.970054,
        "energy": 27.033821,
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          0.578333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 377328,
        "typical_volume": 1480330.9,
        "trend": 0.411593,
        "fair_value": 0.208156,
        "relative_strength": 72.53548,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.193001,
        "energy": 25.935942,
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          0.560333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.56,
        "volume": 1419060,
        "typical_volume": 1470335.85,
        "trend": 0.422883,
        "fair_value": 0.210863,
        "relative_strength": 67.794763,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.213366,
        "energy": 24.126975,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.555333,
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          0.562714,
          0.503276
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.61,
        "volume": 666536,
        "typical_volume": 1471638.25,
        "trend": 0.435675,
        "fair_value": 0.213922,
        "relative_strength": 72.828446,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.511914,
        "energy": 22.831342,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.572,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}