{ "ticker": { "uuid": "996c5b50-997c-4f5f-9d8e-b53f5bc1d1ab", "symbol": "SD", "name": "SandRidge Energy Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 76.513, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.631, "architecture_energy": 34.193, "architecture_maturity": 38.672, "architecture_confidence": 75.708, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.14, "rotation_up": 25.27, "upward_expansion": 9.07, "deceleration": 57.34, "rotation_down": 41.76, "downward_expansion": 71.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.728667, 13.731636, 14.101596, 14.53621 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.62, "trend_reference": 15.012697, "distance_from_trend": -0.092768, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.183117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.117941, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.448618, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166633, "excess_performance": -0.292258, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.092768, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001869, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.117941, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058709, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.124486, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104459, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166633, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.321166, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1857989, "relative_activity": 1.093492, "balance": 1.321166, "dry_up": 0.854462, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070745, "annualized_volatility": 0.275115, "from_high_reference": -0.24071, "from_low_reference": 0.345605 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.012697, "fair_value_reference": 12.183117, "structural_low": 13.05, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.026932, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.005473, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.141237, "worst_return": -0.075096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.118556, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.023698, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.28562, "worst_return": -0.13002, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.128212, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.028397, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.226291, "worst_return": -0.054274, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.25515, "energy": 59.83572, "activity_lines": [ 13.593333, 13.844, 14.27016, 14.696233 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.92, "volume": 1267897, "typical_volume": 1768026.25, "trend": 15.002686, "fair_value": 12.179687, "relative_strength": -7.276921, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.39929, "energy": 36.959655, "activity_lines": [ 13.724667, 13.802545, 14.194163, 14.625415 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.62, "volume": 1857989, "typical_volume": 1699133.6, "trend": 15.012697, "fair_value": 12.183117, "relative_strength": -12.448618, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.630982, "energy": 34.192765, "activity_lines": [ 13.728667, 13.731636, 14.101596, 14.53621 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }