{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "99753c7a-e233-4d54-9faf-9e30188c8d5e",
    "symbol": "CTC-A",
    "name": "Canadian Tire Corporation, Limited",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.84,
    "architecture_energy": 77.165,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.645,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.504,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.31,
        "rotation_up": 78.32,
        "upward_expansion": 91.98,
        "deceleration": 42.61,
        "rotation_down": 9.56,
        "downward_expansion": 16.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        201.339934,
        197.259429,
        191.740755,
        189.554803
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 206.160004,
    "trend_reference": 186.055215,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.108058,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 151.996951,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.356343,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.474468,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.158665,
    "excess_performance": 0.038243,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108058,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047423,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.356343,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075527,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034745,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058447,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.158665,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.243439,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 875300,
      "relative_activity": 0.988615,
      "balance": 1.243439,
      "dry_up": 0.939455,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040758,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.248317,
      "from_high_reference": -0.003239,
      "from_low_reference": 0.333706
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 186.055215,
      "fair_value_reference": 151.996951,
      "structural_low": 169.139999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.013654,
        "positive_rate": 0.578947,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.578947,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014353,
        "regime_survival": 0.684211,
        "best_return": 0.092676,
        "worst_return": -0.144573,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.005213,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.057385,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.080447,
        "worst_return": -0.214327,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.064027,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04238,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.048431,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.331618,
        "worst_return": -0.154633,
        "sufficient": false
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        "start": "2024-08-09",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.015348,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 1216880.0,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "fair_value": 150.823426,
        "relative_strength": -2.512354,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.253706,
        "energy": 59.814729,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 194.533569,
        "volume": 774000,
        "typical_volume": 925510.0,
        "trend": 182.914246,
        "fair_value": 151.032912,
        "relative_strength": 0.117721,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.949708,
        "energy": 65.350737,
        "activity_lines": [
          193.05668,
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          185.930413
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 197.130783,
        "volume": 711800,
        "typical_volume": 900895.0,
        "trend": 183.852294,
        "fair_value": 151.263106,
        "relative_strength": 1.522485,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.778995,
        "energy": 65.919151,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.726541,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 204.600006,
        "volume": 966000,
        "typical_volume": 893215.0,
        "trend": 184.946212,
        "fair_value": 151.56297,
        "relative_strength": 6.09212,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.986759,
        "energy": 68.829338,
        "activity_lines": [
          198.15009,
          194.405369,
          189.99116,
          188.186171
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 206.160004,
        "volume": 875300,
        "typical_volume": 885380.0,
        "trend": 186.055215,
        "fair_value": 151.996951,
        "relative_strength": 3.474468,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.840034,
        "energy": 77.165088,
        "activity_lines": [
          201.339934,
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          191.740755,
          189.554803
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}