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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.993, "architecture_energy": 90.893, "architecture_maturity": 24.047, "architecture_confidence": 71.723, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 84.52, "upward_expansion": 98.8, "deceleration": 39.68, "rotation_down": 10.68, "downward_expansion": 20.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.551333, 29.205443, 28.596194, 28.221421 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 29.96, "trend_reference": 27.854549, "distance_from_trend": 0.075587, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 25.845894, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.159178, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.158128, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.071654, "excess_performance": -0.053971, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075587, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032903, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.481471, "energy": 90.996266, "activity_lines": [ 29.136667, 28.781931, 28.237806, 27.962184 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.49, "volume": 428438, "typical_volume": 631124.35, "trend": 27.763208, "fair_value": 25.798606, "relative_strength": 0.669967, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.427089, "energy": 89.081575, "activity_lines": [ 29.305333, 28.967247, 28.401471, 28.079693 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 29.96, "volume": 402647, "typical_volume": 613990.85, "trend": 27.854549, "fair_value": 25.845894, "relative_strength": -1.158128, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.992764, "energy": 90.893243, "activity_lines": [ 29.551333, 29.205443, 28.596194, 28.221421 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }