{ "ticker": { "uuid": "998caeea-b0b5-49da-85e1-4d0ad9e88fca", "symbol": "300365", "name": "Beijing Forever Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.749, "architecture_energy": 51.566, "architecture_maturity": 78.089, "architecture_confidence": 88.207, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.71, "rotation_up": 26.86, "upward_expansion": 8.44, "deceleration": 60.15, "rotation_down": 51.33, "downward_expansion": 81.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.600667, 4.617455, 4.975048, 5.313849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.76, "trend_reference": 5.743667, "distance_from_trend": -0.171261, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.061629, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.214733, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.621789, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.217105, "excess_performance": -0.224505, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.171261, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092675, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.214733, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1801, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.246218, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007083, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.217105, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.238754, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 62222931, "relative_activity": 0.818879, "balance": 1.238754, "dry_up": 0.859929, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0968, "annualized_volatility": 0.442151, "from_high_reference": -0.354138, "from_low_reference": 0.144231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.743667, "fair_value_reference": 6.061629, "structural_low": 4.16, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.036023, "positive_rate": 0.62963, "directional_follow_through": 0.37037, "median_excess_return": 0.031565, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.40173, "worst_return": -0.302181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.001486, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.059741, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.439359, "worst_return": -0.248303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058166, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.053474, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.292954, "worst_return": -0.161893, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.154291, "energy": 82.973157, "activity_lines": [ 4.438667, 4.647091, 5.112476, 5.45286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.73, "volume": 62267026, "typical_volume": 80401060.15, "trend": 5.795667, "fair_value": 6.076829, "relative_strength": -22.058127, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.500051, "energy": 59.916554, "activity_lines": [ 4.52, 4.618182, 5.037238, 5.380667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.76, "volume": 62222931, "typical_volume": 75985470.35, "trend": 5.743667, "fair_value": 6.061629, "relative_strength": -24.621789, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.748524, "energy": 51.566116, "activity_lines": [ 4.600667, 4.617455, 4.975048, 5.313849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }