{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "999101b1-a797-4024-a068-611eacd630ec",
    "symbol": "ALGLD",
    "name": "Gold By Gold SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 45.206,
    "architecture_energy": 23.922,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.747,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.168,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.7,
        "rotation_up": 47.64,
        "upward_expansion": 72.27,
        "deceleration": 59.82,
        "rotation_down": 16.0,
        "downward_expansion": 1.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.908667,
        4.800017,
        4.784986,
        4.732628
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 4.88,
    "trend_reference": 4.624284,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.055299,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.982661,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.636123,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.626197,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.134884,
    "excess_performance": 0.081572,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055299,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149687,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.636123,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002036,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166262,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077617,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.134884,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.495973,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41981,
      "relative_activity": 1.94788,
      "balance": 1.495973,
      "dry_up": 1.312085,
      "accumulation_observations": 6,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.155224,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.807999,
      "from_high_reference": -0.254393,
      "from_low_reference": 1.033333
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 4.624284,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.982661,
      "structural_low": 3.55,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.015147,
        "positive_rate": 0.416667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006235,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.17037,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.090604,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076539,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.609376,
        "worst_return": -0.157408,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.52349,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.538233,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 2.078921,
        "worst_return": -0.349757,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 1.122153,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 1.183162,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 1.889565,
        "worst_return": -0.450262,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2023-09-22",
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        "return": -0.140741,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2024-03-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 1.621229,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.431624,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.038889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.005814,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.092491,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.097315,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "direction": 40.845531,
        "energy": 29.495022,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.566667,
          4.582727,
          4.438476,
          4.130086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 4.57,
        "volume": 7348,
        "typical_volume": 18773.65,
        "trend": 3.792333,
        "fair_value": 2.671934,
        "relative_strength": 29.950769,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 33.152146,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.575333,
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          4.47881,
          4.183677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 4.39635,
        "volume": 5526,
        "typical_volume": 18908.5,
        "trend": 3.837545,
        "fair_value": 2.690401,
        "relative_strength": 24.387944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.663571,
        "energy": 29.509337,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.52145,
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          4.4957,
          4.222646
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 3.55,
        "volume": 11480,
        "typical_volume": 19250.25,
        "trend": 3.852545,
        "fair_value": 2.704175,
        "relative_strength": 2.319686,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -13.158132,
        "energy": 17.433657,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.195027,
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          4.425813,
          4.204095
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 4.87,
        "volume": 32701,
        "typical_volume": 20542.7,
        "trend": 3.914878,
        "fair_value": 2.726044,
        "relative_strength": 36.362047,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.181876,
        "energy": 19.419857,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.479211,
          4.269737
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 6.12,
        "volume": 33353,
        "typical_volume": 21885.4,
        "trend": 4.022212,
        "fair_value": 2.75666,
        "relative_strength": 67.486621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 79.794002,
        "energy": 48.752374,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.729535,
          4.643943,
          4.412003
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 5.95,
        "volume": 6882,
        "typical_volume": 20181.65,
        "trend": 4.125878,
        "fair_value": 2.786185,
        "relative_strength": 59.954431,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.893842,
        "energy": 76.935517,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.778912,
          4.536377
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 4.591417,
        "volume": 57910,
        "typical_volume": 22215.25,
        "trend": 4.185592,
        "fair_value": 2.807002,
        "relative_strength": 20.833467,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.158576,
        "energy": 62.218237,
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          5.227139,
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          4.773493,
          4.566411
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 4.125333,
        "volume": 7528,
        "typical_volume": 18590.1,
        "trend": 4.233103,
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        "relative_strength": 7.3821,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.885826,
        "energy": 35.565283,
        "activity_lines": [
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          4.562524
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 4.165,
        "volume": 9389,
        "typical_volume": 17165.9,
        "trend": 4.275603,
        "fair_value": 2.844075,
        "relative_strength": 8.556361,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.380589,
        "energy": 9.39473,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.608039,
          4.714698,
          4.671902,
          4.55813
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 4.710417,
        "volume": 21860,
        "typical_volume": 16831.6,
        "trend": 4.332617,
        "fair_value": 2.866449,
        "relative_strength": 20.290797,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.076804,
        "energy": 21.508277,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.514728,
          4.718626,
          4.676474,
          4.586182
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.87,
        "volume": 62209,
        "typical_volume": 19069.15,
        "trend": 4.390951,
        "fair_value": 2.889723,
        "relative_strength": 25.792206,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.847872,
        "energy": 20.344593,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.568583,
          4.748653,
          4.696196,
          4.620852
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.88,
        "volume": 28252,
        "typical_volume": 19821.95,
        "trend": 4.450284,
        "fair_value": 2.912936,
        "relative_strength": 25.008422,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.839012,
        "energy": 14.298804,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.697772,
          4.775044,
          4.716441,
          4.652404
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.0,
        "volume": 25861,
        "typical_volume": 19649.4,
        "trend": 4.515617,
        "fair_value": 2.936794,
        "relative_strength": 26.430881,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.768525,
        "energy": 24.18658,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.847722,
          4.814459,
          4.746877,
          4.687869
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.9,
        "volume": 17019,
        "typical_volume": 19933.35,
        "trend": 4.570617,
        "fair_value": 2.95976,
        "relative_strength": 20.952683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.83554,
        "energy": 24.940522,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.906028,
          4.809329,
          4.767217,
          4.712668
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.88,
        "volume": 41981,
        "typical_volume": 21552.15,
        "trend": 4.624284,
        "fair_value": 2.982661,
        "relative_strength": 16.626197,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.20615,
        "energy": 23.922063,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.908667,
          4.800017,
          4.784986,
          4.732628
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}