{ "ticker": { "uuid": "99bb4d90-3530-4c69-8c96-06017de8b87f", "symbol": "E1QR34", "name": "Equity Residential", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.975, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.695, "architecture_energy": 86.536, "architecture_maturity": 9.619, "architecture_confidence": 76.396, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.52, "rotation_up": 74.82, "upward_expansion": 95.0, "deceleration": 44.79, "rotation_down": 10.93, "downward_expansion": 21.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.472666, 57.719212, 56.159585, 55.293603 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 57.243332, "trend_reference": 54.765909, "distance_from_trend": 0.045237, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 56.330818, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016199, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.536357, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.077329, "excess_performance": 0.134377, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045237, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012955, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.016199, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038636, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.005364, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.182755, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.077329, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.909091, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3, "relative_activity": 0.10929, "balance": 0.909091, "dry_up": 0.491803, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019108, "annualized_volatility": 0.214459, "from_high_reference": -0.059117, "from_low_reference": 0.146583 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.765909, "fair_value_reference": 56.330818, "structural_low": 49.925163, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.011111, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": 0.035184, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.121212, "worst_return": -0.086871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.030495, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.086957, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.214148, "worst_return": -0.094089, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.022972, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.007235, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.409122, "worst_return": -0.066463, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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53.328308, 53.727845 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 54.54723, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 26.4, "trend": 54.208329, "fair_value": 55.940156, "relative_strength": -6.964101, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.65661, "energy": 54.812462, "activity_lines": [ 54.665432, 54.194487, 53.427839, 53.7563 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 54.966667, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.8, "trend": 54.237717, "fair_value": 55.984491, "relative_strength": -8.207122, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.279147, "energy": 58.260133, "activity_lines": [ 54.780766, 54.43873, 53.577466, 53.805225 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 54.966667, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.65, "trend": 54.256575, "fair_value": 56.025893, "relative_strength": -8.232155, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 29.648936, "energy": 48.889982, "activity_lines": [ 54.798892, 54.627231, 53.718369, 53.852254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 60.419998, "volume": 33, "typical_volume": 27.3, "trend": 54.457211, "fair_value": 56.091241, "relative_strength": -0.629237, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 66.728837, "energy": 82.331417, "activity_lines": [ 56.700557, 55.749942, 54.3841, 54.249894 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 59.759998, "volume": 48, "typical_volume": 29.7, "trend": 54.588949, "fair_value": 56.152652, "relative_strength": 1.252231, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 92.616913, "energy": 96.773482, "activity_lines": [ 57.990703, 56.590424, 54.96647, 54.592009 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.759998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29.4, "trend": 54.705924, "fair_value": 56.235341, "relative_strength": 1.689853, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.643587, "energy": 94.417755, "activity_lines": [ 58.933332, 57.333602, 55.531479, 54.925625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.913334, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 28.05, "trend": 54.747083, "fair_value": 56.285227, "relative_strength": -2.914845, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.453342, "energy": 88.656621, "activity_lines": [ 58.912888, 57.62736, 55.890315, 55.132555 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.243332, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 27.45, "trend": 54.765909, "fair_value": 56.330818, "relative_strength": -0.536357, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.694634, "energy": 86.53568, "activity_lines": [ 58.472666, 57.719212, 56.159585, 55.293603 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }