{ "ticker": { "uuid": "99bcbee1-4fe4-4343-abe9-02343f62e235", "symbol": "300213", "name": "Beijing Jiaxun Feihong Electrical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.057, "architecture_energy": 63.533, "architecture_maturity": 91.199, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 24.73, "upward_expansion": 11.9, "deceleration": 60.66, "rotation_down": 58.3, "downward_expansion": 85.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.014667, 6.103091, 6.708429, 7.162172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.33, "trend_reference": 7.850667, "distance_from_trend": -0.193699, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.682986, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.176102, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.500708, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.325879, "excess_performance": -0.333278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.193699, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105473, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.176102, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.298792, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.295007, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067055, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325879, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.341078, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 73620263, "relative_activity": 1.51673, "balance": 0.341078, "dry_up": 1.567881, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083121, "annualized_volatility": 0.357531, "from_high_reference": -0.481148, "from_low_reference": 0.187617 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.850667, "fair_value_reference": 7.682986, "structural_low": 5.33, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.019435, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": 0.013398, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.297428, "worst_return": -0.191716, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.036458, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.033815, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.346392, "worst_return": -0.160639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.090119, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.116062, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.281716, "worst_return": -0.128013, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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6.979818, 7.459095, 7.882215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 6.12, "volume": 71008268, "typical_volume": 45370930.5, "trend": 8.311, "fair_value": 7.692127, "relative_strength": -38.164464, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.363344, "energy": 90.83906, "activity_lines": [ 6.260667, 6.741091, 7.293524, 7.734667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 5.67, "volume": 79651304, "typical_volume": 47404944.75, "trend": 8.195333, "fair_value": 7.686312, "relative_strength": -36.360785, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.494216, "energy": 92.836378, "activity_lines": [ 6.018, 6.461273, 7.099905, 7.56428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.53, "volume": 72887278, "typical_volume": 47682088.65, "trend": 8.070333, "fair_value": 7.681875, "relative_strength": -37.497456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.775044, "energy": 87.374435, "activity_lines": [ 5.806, 6.209636, 6.910571, 7.392323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.13, "volume": 78253468, "typical_volume": 47841980.75, "trend": 7.957, "fair_value": 7.680841, "relative_strength": -28.907534, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.618493, "energy": 66.778439, "activity_lines": [ 5.878667, 6.120182, 6.79381, 7.26714 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.33, "volume": 73620263, "typical_volume": 48538807.2, "trend": 7.850667, "fair_value": 7.682986, "relative_strength": -29.500708, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.056885, "energy": 63.532755, "activity_lines": [ 6.014667, 6.103091, 6.708429, 7.162172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }