{ "ticker": { "uuid": "99bddbfe-6600-491c-a924-b2e0873f5584", "symbol": "300733", "name": "Chengdu Xiling Power Science & Technology Incorporated Company", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.152, "architecture_energy": 27.351, "architecture_maturity": 78.635, "architecture_confidence": 60.304, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.0, "rotation_up": 27.72, "upward_expansion": 17.05, "deceleration": 63.02, "rotation_down": 37.64, "downward_expansion": 64.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.998, 12.861455, 13.360275, 14.101502 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.22, "trend_reference": 15.316102, "distance_from_trend": -0.071565, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.963945, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.018337, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.714629, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.199775, "excess_performance": -0.207175, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071565, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100487, "read": "Falling" 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"invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.070893, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.073013, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.257253, "worst_return": -0.198348, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.120622, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.109128, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.299871, "worst_return": -0.385285, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.203216, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.193315, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.361647, "worst_return": -0.367779, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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13.667128, 14.584748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.38, "volume": 45110186, "typical_volume": 39099641.65, "trend": 15.665769, "fair_value": 13.952896, "relative_strength": -29.121892, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.254105, "energy": 63.384446, "activity_lines": [ 12.086667, 12.650615, 13.46778, 14.361128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.89, "volume": 40170884, "typical_volume": 40369076.95, "trend": 15.468436, "fair_value": 13.950834, "relative_strength": -24.428183, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.161571, "energy": 47.702411, "activity_lines": [ 12.333333, 12.613496, 13.341146, 14.182046 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.22, "volume": 43702670, "typical_volume": 41770755.55, "trend": 15.316102, "fair_value": 13.963945, "relative_strength": -19.714629, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.151778, "energy": 27.350515, "activity_lines": [ 12.998, 12.861455, 13.360275, 14.101502 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }