{ "ticker": { "uuid": "99ca2d33-2d02-44b5-a3e1-b7a356aed7d0", "symbol": "3484", "name": "Solteam Incorporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 70.343, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.985, "architecture_energy": 22.776, "architecture_maturity": 29.383, "architecture_confidence": 68.634, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.68, "rotation_up": 39.44, "upward_expansion": 63.25, "deceleration": 83.04, "rotation_down": 26.68, "downward_expansion": 17.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.046666, 50.252727, 48.731191, 48.020968 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 51.599998, "trend_reference": 47.753334, "distance_from_trend": 0.080553, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 47.899663, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077252, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.810177, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.047716, "excess_performance": -0.393656, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080553, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014374, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.077252, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.176826, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.248102, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.160916, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.047716, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.261096, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1237693, "relative_activity": 0.485809, "balance": 1.261096, "dry_up": 0.759459, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085644, "annualized_volatility": 0.377933, "from_high_reference": -0.080214, "from_low_reference": 0.247884 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.753334, "fair_value_reference": 47.899663, "structural_low": 41.349998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.027523, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.047389, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.122641, "worst_return": -0.143023, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.039122, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.086605, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.10181, "worst_return": -0.27907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.095348, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.09698, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.151584, "worst_return": -0.281395, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.109272, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144838, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.074492, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.007049, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.060353, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.227931, "energy": 35.985865, "activity_lines": [ 50.793333, 49.545455, 47.662143, 47.465377 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47.450001, "volume": 963523, "typical_volume": 2389625.6, "trend": 47.49, "fair_value": 47.641303, "relative_strength": -29.618883, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 14.067793, "energy": 17.139455, "activity_lines": [ 49.356667, 49.456364, 47.728334, 47.462151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.0, "volume": 1371051, "typical_volume": 2396396.1, "trend": 47.511667, "fair_value": 47.713143, "relative_strength": -27.205944, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.329734, "energy": 8.278882, "activity_lines": [ 48.613334, 49.374546, 47.844048, 47.495054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 51.700001, "volume": 4167213, "typical_volume": 2533715.15, "trend": 47.636667, "fair_value": 47.802769, "relative_strength": -22.817702, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.590301, "energy": 22.44668, "activity_lines": [ 49.303334, 49.895455, 48.306429, 47.765269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 51.599998, "volume": 1237693, "typical_volume": 2547695.9, "trend": 47.753334, "fair_value": 47.899663, "relative_strength": -24.810177, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.9847, "energy": 22.776435, "activity_lines": [ 50.046666, 50.252727, 48.731191, 48.020968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }