{ "ticker": { "uuid": "99e6184e-dfd9-42a8-948f-dbff22c3b2ab", "symbol": "HE1", "name": "Helium One Global Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.149, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.759, "architecture_energy": 82.131, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.229, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.3, "rotation_up": 13.91, "upward_expansion": 19.24, "deceleration": 39.08, "rotation_down": 77.26, "downward_expansion": 97.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.004019, 0.004261, 0.004841, 0.005228 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.0039, "trend_reference": 0.005507, "distance_from_trend": -0.29181, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.013393, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.708812, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.205354, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.103448, "excess_performance": -0.154684, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.29181, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035994, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.708812, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018938, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.262054, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.222473, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.103448, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.675307, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 131836643, "relative_activity": 0.470534, "balance": 0.675307, "dry_up": 0.446782, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.134911, "annualized_volatility": 0.986327, "from_high_reference": -0.628571, "from_low_reference": 0.695652 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.005507, "fair_value_reference": 0.013393, "structural_low": 0.0037, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.0122, "positive_rate": 0.392857, "directional_follow_through": 0.535714, "median_excess_return": -0.040975, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 9.209302, "worst_return": -0.809735, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.063594, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.106246, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 5.89, "worst_return": -0.963303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.268655, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.331895, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.596491, "worst_return": -0.747156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 414434676.55, "trend": 0.00555, "fair_value": 0.015646, "relative_strength": -19.193757, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.751949, "energy": 75.740023, "activity_lines": [ 0.004561, 0.004973, 0.005465, 0.005621 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0042, "volume": 147606214, "typical_volume": 395291940.5, "trend": 0.005567, "fair_value": 0.015073, "relative_strength": -21.885176, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.67693, "energy": 87.704646, "activity_lines": [ 0.004393, 0.004779, 0.005309, 0.005534 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.00406, "volume": 71153723, "typical_volume": 330457861.5, "trend": 0.005547, "fair_value": 0.014516, "relative_strength": -24.086788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.330906, "energy": 88.396907, "activity_lines": [ 0.004237, 0.004591, 0.005148, 0.005436 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00395, "volume": 150130192, "typical_volume": 311982527.85, "trend": 0.005534, "fair_value": 0.013958, "relative_strength": -26.03101, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.127507, "energy": 84.213528, "activity_lines": [ 0.004108, 0.004414, 0.00499, 0.005333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0039, "volume": 131836643, "typical_volume": 280185254.55, "trend": 0.005507, "fair_value": 0.013393, "relative_strength": -26.205354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.759433, "energy": 82.13068, "activity_lines": [ 0.004019, 0.004261, 0.004841, 0.005228 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }