{ "ticker": { "uuid": "99fb822e-7269-42d1-9dd9-6e8d54eef73c", "symbol": "DHANUKA", "name": "Dhanuka Agritech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.891, "architecture_energy": 37.696, "architecture_maturity": 4.381, "architecture_confidence": 64.567, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.37, "rotation_up": 15.82, "upward_expansion": 21.6, "deceleration": 52.18, "rotation_down": 59.79, "downward_expansion": 48.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 1019.572636, 1036.448275, 1057.553424, 1051.9905 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1020.599976, "trend_reference": 1051.913875, "distance_from_trend": -0.029769, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1281.346054, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.203494, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.576689, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.028925, "excess_performance": 0.014784, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.029769, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049999, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.203494, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080122, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135767, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01576, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.028925, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.812515, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 482806, "relative_activity": 1.316667, "balance": 4.812515, "dry_up": 0.64839, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06035, "annualized_volatility": 0.257619, "from_high_reference": -0.387027, "from_low_reference": 0.147257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1051.913875, "fair_value_reference": 1281.346054, "structural_low": 889.599976, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.07187, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.059528, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.016685, "worst_return": -0.095201, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.169862, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.152502, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.107258, "worst_return": -0.232467, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.201485, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.166632, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.124046, "worst_return": -0.278924, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1020.599976, "volume": 482806, "typical_volume": 366688.0, "trend": 1051.913875, "fair_value": 1281.346054, "relative_strength": -13.576689, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.890777, "energy": 37.696368, "activity_lines": [ 1019.572636, 1036.448275, 1057.553424, 1051.9905 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }