{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9a1abe54-e516-4cfd-9d32-ea009ae9cd70",
    "symbol": "8024",
    "name": "Alpha Microelectronics Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 25.832,
    "architecture_energy": 19.648,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.693,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.565,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.01,
        "rotation_up": 21.94,
        "upward_expansion": 54.32,
        "deceleration": 91.15,
        "rotation_down": 34.1,
        "downward_expansion": 20.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.303333,
        14.884545,
        14.241905,
        13.870538
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 13.6,
    "trend_reference": 13.495,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.007781,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.905769,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.195541,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -27.449087,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.011152,
    "excess_performance": -0.43022,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.007781,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063017,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195541,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11122,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.274491,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113761,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011152,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.038248,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 353000,
      "relative_activity": 0.521669,
      "balance": 1.038248,
      "dry_up": 0.593459,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.136029,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.571825,
      "from_high_reference": -0.254795,
      "from_low_reference": 0.182609
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.495,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.905769,
      "structural_low": 11.5,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.015607,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015307,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.092873,
        "worst_return": -0.099119,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.001683,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.029959,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.0489,
        "worst_return": -0.045534,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.001139,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062789,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.001139,
        "worst_return": 0.001139,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.103876,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.418162,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.103876,
        "worst_return": -0.103876,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.017937,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.06713,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.091146,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.077103,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.073604,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.07357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046392,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.196629,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.066202,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.018868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.089219,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.174785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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      },
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 12.4,
        "volume": 339050,
        "typical_volume": 285374.85,
        "trend": 12.781667,
        "fair_value": 17.663308,
        "relative_strength": -39.388064,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.280799,
        "energy": 15.855346,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.656667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 12.2,
        "volume": 597875,
        "typical_volume": 310412.85,
        "trend": 12.746667,
        "fair_value": 17.598533,
        "relative_strength": -38.825171,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.088805,
        "energy": 30.311382,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 12.9,
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        "typical_volume": 328510.15,
        "trend": 12.745,
        "fair_value": 17.545068,
        "relative_strength": -36.099432,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 17.499844,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.573333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 346001,
        "typical_volume": 341266.65,
        "trend": 12.728333,
        "fair_value": 17.487853,
        "relative_strength": -40.558859,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.630049,
        "energy": 19.953263,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.546667,
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          12.73
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 351001.6,
        "trend": 12.695,
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        "relative_strength": -40.30799,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -13.17603,
        "energy": 14.464617,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 12.1,
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        "typical_volume": 350394.6,
        "trend": 12.651667,
        "fair_value": 17.365198,
        "relative_strength": -39.777088,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -29.837661,
        "energy": 18.330742,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 12.25,
        "volume": 196010,
        "typical_volume": 314896.35,
        "trend": 12.628333,
        "fair_value": 17.30015,
        "relative_strength": -41.103711,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 28.700335,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 17.450001,
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        "trend": 12.8,
        "fair_value": 17.26191,
        "relative_strength": -11.640166,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 79.260988,
        "energy": 69.294049,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 15.85,
        "volume": 1501623,
        "typical_volume": 549717.55,
        "trend": 12.913333,
        "fair_value": 17.205998,
        "relative_strength": -22.63186,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.232473,
        "energy": 77.397395,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.83,
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          13.318572,
          13.155591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 16.799999,
        "volume": 859001,
        "typical_volume": 587862.15,
        "trend": 13.061667,
        "fair_value": 17.161218,
        "relative_strength": -14.467093,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.098334,
        "energy": 86.074126,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.756667,
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          13.672619,
          13.406344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 16.15,
        "volume": 1350254,
        "typical_volume": 644264.4,
        "trend": 13.193333,
        "fair_value": 17.113782,
        "relative_strength": -11.763804,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.786041,
        "energy": 81.649011,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.176667,
          14.926364,
          13.946667,
          13.605591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 15.4,
        "volume": 772896,
        "typical_volume": 672287.5,
        "trend": 13.298333,
        "fair_value": 17.064744,
        "relative_strength": -16.880426,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.906396,
        "energy": 72.151742,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.076667,
          15.169091,
          14.134048,
          13.747957
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.0,
        "volume": 349001,
        "typical_volume": 677641.9,
        "trend": 13.361667,
        "fair_value": 17.011859,
        "relative_strength": -22.626623,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.60882,
        "energy": 40.91734,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.3,
          15.099091,
          14.175714,
          13.793226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.4,
        "volume": 131417,
        "typical_volume": 672524.25,
        "trend": 13.44,
        "fair_value": 16.958654,
        "relative_strength": -21.52873,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.5875,
        "energy": 23.304849,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.886667,
          15.081818,
          14.250714,
          13.860215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 13.6,
        "volume": 353000,
        "typical_volume": 676674.2,
        "trend": 13.495,
        "fair_value": 16.905769,
        "relative_strength": -27.449087,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.83188,
        "energy": 19.64812,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.303333,
          14.884545,
          14.241905,
          13.870538
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}