{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a2e9906-e192-4799-ad3d-09bd64e2cb8e", "symbol": "FIBRAMQ12", "name": "FIBRA Macquarie M\u00e9xico", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.846, "architecture_energy": 38.538, "architecture_maturity": 97.732, "architecture_confidence": 78.258, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.96, "rotation_up": 48.2, "upward_expansion": 78.07, "deceleration": 66.12, "rotation_down": 24.74, "downward_expansion": 4.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.371906, 44.234116, 43.713104, 42.914568 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 43.860001, "trend_reference": 41.349836, "distance_from_trend": 0.060706, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.765125, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.42564, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.494385, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.198481, "excess_performance": 0.253147, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.060706, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.114164, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.42564, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027181, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.174944, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013454, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.198481, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.83091, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1337439, "relative_activity": 0.255501, "balance": 1.83091, "dry_up": 0.357065, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038254, "annualized_volatility": 0.205046, "from_high_reference": -0.049544, "from_low_reference": 0.539343 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.349836, "fair_value_reference": 30.765125, "structural_low": 35.247122, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.001118, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": 0.000203, "regime_survival": 0.735294, "best_return": 0.18453, "worst_return": -0.10381, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.001246, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.010828, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.295257, "worst_return": -0.105504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.064821, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.039488, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.415997, "worst_return": -0.033877, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.999323, "energy": 53.307439, "activity_lines": [ 44.120434, 43.64251, 43.036769, 41.872847 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.791344, "volume": 1558748, "typical_volume": 6165105.75, "trend": 40.190987, "fair_value": 30.414757, "relative_strength": 22.431874, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.812914, "energy": 51.290762, "activity_lines": [ 44.403783, 43.909539, 43.26659, 42.195136 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 44.300426, "volume": 614632, "typical_volume": 5735673.3, "trend": 40.58297, "fair_value": 30.528984, "relative_strength": 20.901153, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.665617, "energy": 47.276359, "activity_lines": [ 44.426411, 44.044698, 43.437457, 42.460261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.750819, "volume": 3965512, "typical_volume": 5525595.6, "trend": 40.986092, "fair_value": 30.65064, "relative_strength": 20.486498, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.097729, "energy": 48.183842, "activity_lines": [ 44.599142, 44.232364, 43.629869, 42.729154 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.860001, "volume": 1337439, "typical_volume": 5234572.2, "trend": 41.349836, "fair_value": 30.765125, "relative_strength": 17.494385, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.845996, "energy": 38.5385, "activity_lines": [ 44.371906, 44.234116, 43.713104, 42.914568 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }