{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a3400cc-8566-4a5b-bf48-6a6f3032448c", "symbol": "WIN", "name": "Wyncoast Industrial Park Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 59.125, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 25.816, "architecture_energy": 22.317, "architecture_maturity": 7.771, "architecture_confidence": 44.739, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.24, "rotation_up": 50.31, "upward_expansion": 48.37, "deceleration": 36.76, "rotation_down": 23.13, "downward_expansion": 9.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.294667, 0.292, 0.28481, 0.283118 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.29, "trend_reference": 0.287667, "distance_from_trend": 0.008111, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.451603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.357842, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -22.650625, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.064516, "excess_performance": -0.256841, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008111, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.065005, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.357842, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089692, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226506, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111881, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.064516, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.949125, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 324800, "relative_activity": 0.329748, "balance": 1.949125, "dry_up": 0.797745, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071618, "annualized_volatility": 0.400665, "from_high_reference": -0.355556, "from_low_reference": 0.318182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.287667, "fair_value_reference": 0.451603, "structural_low": 0.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.084507, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.07247, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.025641, "worst_return": -0.2125, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.207621, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.181223, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.2875, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.1875, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.189811, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.128205, "worst_return": -0.410714, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.319643, 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"2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.1, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.047619, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.025, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025641, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.102564, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.228571, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", 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0.459295, "relative_strength": -23.917969, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.700904, "energy": 37.217738, "activity_lines": [ 0.294667, 0.286545, 0.279952, 0.282753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.29, "volume": 483600, "typical_volume": 1064520.0, "trend": 0.291333, "fair_value": 0.456731, "relative_strength": -25.808593, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.208376, "energy": 32.214499, "activity_lines": [ 0.294667, 0.288182, 0.281429, 0.282538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.3, "volume": 905100, "typical_volume": 1001435.0, "trend": 0.289667, "fair_value": 0.454167, "relative_strength": -21.470943, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.359173, "energy": 39.545241, "activity_lines": [ 0.296667, 0.291273, 0.283714, 0.283097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.29, "volume": 324800, "typical_volume": 984995.0, "trend": 0.287667, "fair_value": 0.451603, "relative_strength": -22.650625, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 25.815516, "energy": 22.316558, "activity_lines": [ 0.294667, 0.292, 0.28481, 0.283118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }