{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a54a5f7-3445-44e1-a263-af644888772e", "symbol": "ABBV", "name": "AbbVie Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.668, "architecture_energy": 50.208, "architecture_maturity": 25.252, "architecture_confidence": 76.261, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.68, "rotation_up": 58.89, "upward_expansion": 80.74, "deceleration": 62.62, "rotation_down": 19.6, "downward_expansion": 7.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 251.156949, 248.727139, 236.012461, 229.765445 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 246.04, "trend_reference": 224.045355, "distance_from_trend": 0.098171, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 184.244154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.335402, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.175115, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.110336, "excess_performance": -0.015289, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.098171, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030973, "read": "Rising" 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190.75, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.007396, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.008583, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.142305, "worst_return": -0.168636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.035612, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.039109, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.297049, "worst_return": -0.148977, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.078564, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.046818, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.183753, "worst_return": -0.14788, "sufficient": true 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"2026-07-10", "close": 246.334237, "volume": 35704190, "typical_volume": 34094051.4, "trend": 220.06884, "fair_value": 181.222346, "relative_strength": 2.183064, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.185137, "energy": 77.923788, "activity_lines": [ 245.290964, 235.399371, 224.071538, 221.741602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 254.49, "volume": 29220744, "typical_volume": 34099852.3, "trend": 221.113449, "fair_value": 182.017638, "relative_strength": 6.935187, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.111043, "energy": 82.978487, "activity_lines": [ 250.239084, 240.382677, 227.42691, 223.962322 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 259.36, "volume": 22923732, "typical_volume": 33496800.4, "trend": 222.216762, "fair_value": 182.802792, "relative_strength": 9.256763, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.479735, "energy": 83.523952, "activity_lines": [ 254.919701, 245.288892, 231.13028, 226.429841 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 250.94, "volume": 31693788, "typical_volume": 33433163.05, "trend": 223.06138, "fair_value": 183.55212, "relative_strength": 4.402169, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.969866, "energy": 65.637594, "activity_lines": [ 253.834087, 247.773834, 233.883438, 228.282953 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 246.04, "volume": 30159376, "typical_volume": 32341943.9, "trend": 224.045355, "fair_value": 184.244154, "relative_strength": -1.175115, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.668212, "energy": 50.208446, "activity_lines": [ 251.156949, 248.727139, 236.012461, 229.765445 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }