{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a5bd5d2-c4f5-41d9-9534-6da613f6c4fa", "symbol": "NYE", "name": "Nyesa Valores Corporaci\u00f3n, S.A.", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.203, "architecture_energy": 47.4, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 61.053, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.45, "rotation_up": 26.79, "upward_expansion": 19.08, "deceleration": 67.0, "rotation_down": 48.26, "downward_expansion": 71.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00348, 0.003449, 0.00391, 0.004381 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.0041, "trend_reference": 0.005113, "distance_from_trend": -0.198175, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.00659, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.377821, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -47.528528, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.33871, "excess_performance": -0.46314, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198175, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.221715, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.377821, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.122068, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.475285, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002797, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.33871, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.564204, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1071715610, "relative_activity": 4.28069, "balance": 2.564204, "dry_up": 2.763773, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144465, "annualized_volatility": 0.567162, "from_high_reference": -0.640351, "from_low_reference": 0.464286 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.005113, "fair_value_reference": 0.00659, "structural_low": 0.0028, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 46, "median_return": -0.035897, "positive_rate": 0.195652, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.053537, "regime_survival": 0.913043, "best_return": 1.103448, "worst_return": -0.366667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.209707, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.227575, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.75, "worst_return": -0.435484, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.261273, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.282004, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.952381, "worst_return": -0.684783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.003816, 0.004382, 0.004935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.0029, "volume": 266428970, "typical_volume": 167823921.0, "trend": 0.0056, "fair_value": 0.006633, "relative_strength": -63.423907, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.886326, "energy": 94.318701, "activity_lines": [ 0.003153, 0.003584, 0.004195, 0.004751 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.003, "volume": 67958230, "typical_volume": 154050367.5, "trend": 0.005447, "fair_value": 0.006613, "relative_strength": -62.026835, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.468431, "energy": 89.006188, "activity_lines": [ 0.00304, 0.003409, 0.004037, 0.004583 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0035, "volume": 1361656120, "typical_volume": 210482132.5, "trend": 0.00529, "fair_value": 0.006598, "relative_strength": -55.156465, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.525106, "energy": 66.668605, "activity_lines": [ 0.003153, 0.003362, 0.00394, 0.004458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0041, "volume": 1071715610, "typical_volume": 250360509.5, "trend": 0.005113, "fair_value": 0.00659, "relative_strength": -47.528528, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.203345, "energy": 47.399901, "activity_lines": [ 0.00348, 0.003449, 0.00391, 0.004381 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }