{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a657d4b-f9af-4a93-a28a-47e7a275026d", "symbol": "SO", "name": "Southern Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 89.793, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.485, "architecture_energy": 10.501, "architecture_maturity": 31.021, "architecture_confidence": 75.911, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.51, "rotation_up": 29.09, "upward_expansion": 59.53, "deceleration": 86.12, "rotation_down": 24.6, "downward_expansion": 14.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 94.638, 95.094406, 94.341856, 94.128089 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 92.69, "trend_reference": 93.285423, "distance_from_trend": -0.006383, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 80.811675, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.146988, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.8131, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.050182, "excess_performance": -0.075443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006383, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032247, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.146988, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00805, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098131, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010965, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.050182, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.19345, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37122662, "relative_activity": 1.398155, "balance": 1.19345, "dry_up": 0.991354, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041653, "annualized_volatility": 0.189751, "from_high_reference": -0.06619, "from_low_reference": 0.128883 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.285423, "fair_value_reference": 80.811675, "structural_low": 87.045965, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.002721, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.030457, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.084966, "worst_return": -0.193662, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.001685, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.096744, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.12743, "worst_return": -0.166795, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.031415, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.09199, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.203034, "worst_return": -0.135003, "sufficient": true }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.62849, "energy": 50.759927, "activity_lines": [ 96.472535, 95.467351, 94.443042, 94.033961 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 94.54, "volume": 27390943, "typical_volume": 26078093.95, "trend": 93.03752, "fair_value": 80.616937, "relative_strength": -5.126352, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.555051, "energy": 26.523581, "activity_lines": [ 95.786667, 95.455453, 94.475156, 94.150509 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 92.69, "volume": 37122662, "typical_volume": 26551182.05, "trend": 93.285423, "fair_value": 80.811675, "relative_strength": -9.8131, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.484694, "energy": 10.501171, "activity_lines": [ 94.638, 95.094406, 94.341856, 94.128089 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }