{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9a6b821c-7a38-4dbe-bac2-6a2b1f7ad198",
    "symbol": "KEC",
    "name": "KEC International Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.716,
    "architecture_energy": 73.948,
    "architecture_maturity": 84.217,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.842,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 13.5,
        "upward_expansion": 17.03,
        "deceleration": 37.78,
        "rotation_down": 71.39,
        "downward_expansion": 92.69
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        474.861477,
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        506.707719,
        522.10033
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 478.850006,
    "trend_reference": 548.959441,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.127713,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 744.809805,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.357084,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -25.402904,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.222015,
    "excess_performance": -0.178305,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127713,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119637,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.357084,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153817,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.254029,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.094078,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222015,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.334465,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 4138613,
      "relative_activity": 0.859896,
      "balance": 0.334465,
      "dry_up": 0.985804,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.064387,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.320337,
      "from_high_reference": -0.48939,
      "from_low_reference": 0.052417
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 548.959441,
      "fair_value_reference": 744.809805,
      "structural_low": 455.00032,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.01073,
        "positive_rate": 0.470588,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.529412,
        "median_excess_return": 0.008563,
        "regime_survival": 0.882353,
        "best_return": 0.185591,
        "worst_return": -0.132641,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.004017,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024467,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.146482,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.089191,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.271382,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.239283,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.065796,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "volume": 4138613,
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        "trend": 548.959441,
        "fair_value": 744.809805,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}