{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a70d2ef-4542-4444-8c4d-c3e5a7bc0be0", "symbol": "CJR-B", "name": "Corus Entertainment Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 17.142, "architecture_energy": 12.844, "architecture_maturity": 36.47, "architecture_confidence": 66.388, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.24, "rotation_up": 33.56, "upward_expansion": 35.51, "deceleration": 45.64, "rotation_down": 26.46, "downward_expansion": 7.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.04, 0.039818, 0.038, 0.037634 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.04, "trend_reference": 0.037667, "distance_from_trend": 0.061947, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.278654, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.856453, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.569401, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.120421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.061947, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017391, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.856453, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.066157, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.325694, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.292174, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.672999, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1008700, "relative_activity": 1.701112, "balance": 2.672999, "dry_up": 1.505443, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192308, "annualized_volatility": 1.286553, "from_high_reference": -0.636364, "from_low_reference": 0.333333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.037667, "fair_value_reference": 0.278654, "structural_low": 0.03, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.022648, "positive_rate": 0.235294, "directional_follow_through": 0.235294, "median_excess_return": -0.042451, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.08107, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.114881, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.548611, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.238653, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.215537, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.805556, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.6, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.953942, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.364648, "worst_return": -0.930556, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2021-07-09", "end": "2021-10-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.037051, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2021-10-22", "end": "2022-02-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.067455, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-02-25", "end": "2022-04-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102961, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-04-22", "end": "2023-07-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.629777, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-08-04", "end": "2023-09-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.201389, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-22", "end": "2024-01-26", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.028571, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-02-02", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.229167, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.821918, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.090909, "active": 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0.036762, 0.037032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.04, "volume": 1469000, "typical_volume": 581245.0, "trend": 0.037667, "fair_value": 0.304872, "relative_strength": -36.13812, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.972664, "energy": 21.512809, "activity_lines": [ 0.04, 0.038364, 0.037095, 0.037183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.04, "volume": 700800, "typical_volume": 560390.0, "trend": 0.037667, "fair_value": 0.295641, "relative_strength": -34.552188, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 19.804101, "energy": 18.431729, "activity_lines": [ 0.04, 0.038909, 0.037429, 0.037333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.04, "volume": 392200, "typical_volume": 550265.0, "trend": 0.037667, "fair_value": 0.286667, "relative_strength": -32.355234, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.427033, "energy": 13.80663, "activity_lines": [ 0.04, 0.039455, 0.037714, 0.037484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.04, "volume": 1008700, "typical_volume": 592965.0, "trend": 0.037667, "fair_value": 0.278654, "relative_strength": -32.569401, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.141776, "energy": 12.84426, "activity_lines": [ 0.04, 0.039818, 0.038, 0.037634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }