{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a8a79ae-b5b3-4281-a5bf-be26cf71bdec", "symbol": "QZG", "name": "Accrelist Ltd.", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 44.289, "architecture_energy": 32.594, "architecture_maturity": 75.392, "architecture_confidence": 61.102, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.16, "rotation_up": 37.02, "upward_expansion": 63.71, "deceleration": 68.31, "rotation_down": 25.22, "downward_expansion": 16.05 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.060867, 0.061164, 0.058076, 0.055843 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.06, "trend_reference": 0.053133, "distance_from_trend": 0.129235, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.043667, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.374046, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.151189, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.333333, "excess_performance": 0.178498, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.129235, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108484, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.374046, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.271248, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.081512, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003198, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.333333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.752665, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 445000, "relative_activity": 0.255259, "balance": 0.752665, "dry_up": 1.496389, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087179, "annualized_volatility": 0.337667, "from_high_reference": -0.130435, "from_low_reference": 0.935484 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.053133, "fair_value_reference": 0.043667, "structural_low": 0.045, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.020442, "positive_rate": 0.611111, "directional_follow_through": 0.611111, "median_excess_return": 0.014617, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.385965, "worst_return": -0.153846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.142989, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.111072, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.315789, "worst_return": -0.204082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.009434, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.008059, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.325, "worst_return": -0.040816, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"relative_strength": 15.036948, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.868625, "energy": 70.705599, "activity_lines": [ 0.062533, 0.060964, 0.057033, 0.054888 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.06, "volume": 364800, "typical_volume": 1733110.0, "trend": 0.052867, "fair_value": 0.043647, "relative_strength": 9.988979, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.05801, "energy": 46.696783, "activity_lines": [ 0.061667, 0.061127, 0.057581, 0.055383 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.06, "volume": 445000, "typical_volume": 1743330.0, "trend": 0.053133, "fair_value": 0.043667, "relative_strength": 8.151189, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.288524, "energy": 32.593988, "activity_lines": [ 0.060867, 0.061164, 0.058076, 0.055843 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }