{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9a8ef493-4057-4974-a289-665d7cd791c2",
    "symbol": "BATT",
    "name": "AMPLIFY ETF TRUST AMPLIFY LITHIUM & BATTERY TECHNOLOGY ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 80.53,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.579,
    "architecture_energy": 46.907,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.722,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.787,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.95,
        "rotation_up": 12.26,
        "upward_expansion": 7.41,
        "deceleration": 44.13,
        "rotation_down": 62.89,
        "downward_expansion": 80.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.625333,
        14.840818,
        15.499452,
        15.55414
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 15.42,
    "trend_reference": 15.5605,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.009029,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10.769059,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.43188,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.934791,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.01648,
    "excess_performance": -0.109145,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009029,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035316,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.43188,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.228956,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039348,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.260526,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01648,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.17444,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 283007,
      "relative_activity": 0.760673,
      "balance": 1.17444,
      "dry_up": 0.705005,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.078512,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.357176,
      "from_high_reference": -0.147119,
      "from_low_reference": 0.498462
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 15.5605,
      "fair_value_reference": 10.769059,
      "structural_low": 13.68,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.067751,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024748,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.054655,
        "worst_return": -0.080848,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.14881,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11917,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.141141,
        "worst_return": -0.156479,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.144678,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.181504,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.07988,
        "worst_return": -0.209476,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.203827,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.304241,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.123643,
        "worst_return": -0.284011,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-07-07",
        "end": "2023-07-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.036117,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-07-21",
        "end": "2023-08-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.118168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-09-01",
        "end": "2023-09-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.06357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.145059,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.097737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.122674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.0281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.043673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.219782,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.095185,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2026-06-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.580428,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-12",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150091,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.095949,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 10.881304,
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        "typical_volume": 252211.75,
        "trend": 11.859084,
        "fair_value": 13.211959,
        "relative_strength": -15.171156,
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      },
      {
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        "typical_volume": 360543.25,
        "trend": 14.222632,
        "fair_value": 10.369876,
        "relative_strength": 28.005946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": 10.931018,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 15.43056,
        "fair_value": 10.683196,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.395416,
        "energy": 13.658029,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.988,
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          15.900722
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 15.13,
        "volume": 173052,
        "typical_volume": 383480.25,
        "trend": 15.482226,
        "fair_value": 10.701623,
        "relative_strength": -0.609242,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 12.922756,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 14.68,
        "volume": 224065,
        "typical_volume": 385905.8,
        "trend": 15.52053,
        "fair_value": 10.714329,
        "relative_strength": -5.210077,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.433347,
        "energy": 28.967007,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.238667,
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          15.986714,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 14.015,
        "volume": 286323,
        "typical_volume": 386340.75,
        "trend": 15.534048,
        "fair_value": 10.724131,
        "relative_strength": -8.315476,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -37.239537,
        "energy": 51.512687,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.718333,
          15.374909,
          15.812762,
          15.732444
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.07,
        "volume": 297375,
        "typical_volume": 380372.5,
        "trend": 15.525833,
        "fair_value": 10.732513,
        "relative_strength": -7.645292,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.924847,
        "energy": 58.296585,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.381333,
          15.053545,
          15.654738,
          15.637989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.34,
        "volume": 182478,
        "typical_volume": 374035.2,
        "trend": 15.533833,
        "fair_value": 10.745226,
        "relative_strength": -7.204961,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.494619,
        "energy": 58.024268,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.301,
          14.827455,
          15.524952,
          15.561484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 15.42,
        "volume": 283007,
        "typical_volume": 372048.2,
        "trend": 15.5605,
        "fair_value": 10.769059,
        "relative_strength": -3.934791,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.579168,
        "energy": 46.906576,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.625333,
          14.840818,
          15.499452,
          15.55414
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}