{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9a9b93be-0c78-40fa-b1dc-dbd6301bbab3",
    "symbol": "SELF",
    "name": "Global Self Storage Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 82.461,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 17.27,
    "architecture_energy": 9.357,
    "architecture_maturity": 26.085,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.74,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 58.96,
        "rotation_up": 31.56,
        "upward_expansion": 44.05,
        "deceleration": 71.52,
        "rotation_down": 24.73,
        "downward_expansion": 31.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.108667,
        5.116959,
        5.137293,
        5.119503
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 5.15,
    "trend_reference": 5.073906,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.014997,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.610539,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.117006,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.61682,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.045067,
    "excess_performance": -0.142387,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014997,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016477,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117006,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03318,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.096168,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.035148,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045067,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.241998,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 209155,
      "relative_activity": 1.897814,
      "balance": 1.241998,
      "dry_up": 1.133961,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.034462,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.132905,
      "from_high_reference": -0.072177,
      "from_low_reference": 0.136529
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.073906,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.610539,
      "structural_low": 4.811278,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.005797,
        "positive_rate": 0.357143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.357143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025494,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.064579,
        "worst_return": -0.056432,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.005437,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023014,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.094082,
        "worst_return": -0.077164,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.016088,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.045819,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.109766,
        "worst_return": -0.027131,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.04406,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.208441,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.1278,
        "worst_return": -0.079759,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-08-11",
        "end": "2023-10-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.063159,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.081485,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04468,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.041179,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.007905,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.014843,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.069241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-04",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "return": -0.042751,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-26",
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        "return": 0.022704,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 64724,
        "typical_volume": 108873.85,
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        "fair_value": 4.594785,
        "relative_strength": -7.556068,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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          5.112268
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 5.05,
        "volume": 108270,
        "typical_volume": 107398.25,
        "trend": 5.062711,
        "fair_value": 4.600309,
        "relative_strength": -7.013627,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.448208,
        "energy": 4.780311,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.108,
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          5.111773
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.1,
        "volume": 117739,
        "typical_volume": 106047.35,
        "trend": 5.067475,
        "fair_value": 4.605021,
        "relative_strength": -6.284043,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.881595,
        "energy": 10.633343,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.097333,
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          5.136681,
          5.114179
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.15,
        "volume": 209155,
        "typical_volume": 110208.4,
        "trend": 5.073906,
        "fair_value": 4.610539,
        "relative_strength": -9.61682,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.269571,
        "energy": 9.357392,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.116959,
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          5.119503
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}