{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a9ce6d0-a78a-4898-b6d4-511af8dbd9ba", "symbol": "002539", "name": "Chengdu Wintrue Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 55.911, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.615, "architecture_energy": 33.993, "architecture_maturity": 52.072, "architecture_confidence": 82.554, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.25, "rotation_up": 26.32, "upward_expansion": 16.75, "deceleration": 46.35, "rotation_down": 38.71, "downward_expansion": 66.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.456667, 11.276691, 11.957535, 12.600446 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 12.33, "trend_reference": 13.213783, "distance_from_trend": -0.066883, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.330776, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.321434, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.214266, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.155479, "excess_performance": -0.162879, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.066883, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.0009, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.321434, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.310257, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022143, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073471, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.155479, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.701672, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 102665494, "relative_activity": 1.057079, "balance": 0.701672, "dry_up": 1.338217, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.093639, "annualized_volatility": 0.466657, "from_high_reference": -0.286045, "from_low_reference": 0.295168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.213783, "fair_value_reference": 9.330776, "structural_low": 9.52, 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"direction": -82.054074, "energy": 83.414576, "activity_lines": [ 11.062776, 11.603326, 12.669173, 13.116648 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.66, "volume": 105223684, "typical_volume": 105497358.45, "trend": 13.217116, "fair_value": 9.274513, "relative_strength": -20.574959, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.407482, "energy": 88.956288, "activity_lines": [ 10.51, 11.136425, 12.304966, 12.884748 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.81, "volume": 170219739, "typical_volume": 103741955.15, "trend": 13.192783, "fair_value": 9.289061, "relative_strength": -11.281333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.875738, "energy": 78.147641, "activity_lines": [ 10.492, 10.972855, 12.080283, 12.72945 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.06, "volume": 141771511, "typical_volume": 99389823.4, "trend": 13.196783, "fair_value": 9.310032, "relative_strength": 0.557268, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.942353, "energy": 51.915338, "activity_lines": [ 10.933333, 11.094509, 11.99698, 12.656367 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.33, "volume": 102665494, "typical_volume": 97121875.15, "trend": 13.213783, "fair_value": 9.330776, "relative_strength": -2.214266, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.614882, "energy": 33.992918, "activity_lines": [ 11.456667, 11.276691, 11.957535, 12.600446 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }