{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9a9dee5e-5362-4553-86aa-114bd373fbf0", "symbol": "GEPA4", "name": "Rio Paranapanema Energia S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 78.42, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.281, "architecture_energy": 19.363, "architecture_maturity": 25.101, "architecture_confidence": 70.385, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.46, "rotation_up": 43.56, "upward_expansion": 66.24, "deceleration": 56.65, "rotation_down": 16.91, "downward_expansion": 7.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.258667, 38.073819, 38.279258, 37.932514 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.02, "trend_reference": 37.177049, "distance_from_trend": 0.022674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.233167, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.568924, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 8.83286, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.092881, "excess_performance": 0.14993, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.022674, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.077154, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.568924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.320806, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.088329, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045693, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.092881, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.025, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1500, "relative_activity": 1.119403, "balance": 1.025, "dry_up": 0.559701, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0401, "annualized_volatility": 0.262262, "from_high_reference": -0.105412, "from_low_reference": 0.389817 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.177049, "fair_value_reference": 24.233167, "structural_low": 34.122822, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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8.075392, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.448691, "energy": 17.646128, "activity_lines": [ 37.902001, 37.899819, 38.177775, 37.51498 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.990002, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 1525.0, "trend": 36.495427, "fair_value": 23.780143, "relative_strength": 7.964787, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.33593, "energy": 17.420986, "activity_lines": [ 38.039335, 37.846365, 38.199353, 37.628772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.950001, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 1420.0, "trend": 36.79664, "fair_value": 23.936695, "relative_strength": 10.471922, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.495414, "energy": 31.860813, "activity_lines": [ 38.497335, 38.041819, 38.300333, 37.787132 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.0, "volume": 700, "typical_volume": 1305.0, "trend": 36.969945, "fair_value": 24.083614, "relative_strength": 5.491168, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.062026, "energy": 25.215231, "activity_lines": [ 38.441334, 38.053274, 38.295708, 37.864768 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.02, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 1340.0, "trend": 37.177049, "fair_value": 24.233167, "relative_strength": 8.83286, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.281021, "energy": 19.363247, "activity_lines": [ 38.258667, 38.073819, 38.279258, 37.932514 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }