{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9aa5c61c-64e3-45f2-a1ec-368a5cd19576", "symbol": "603279", "name": "Jingjin Equipment Inc.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.167, "architecture_energy": 46.852, "architecture_maturity": 72.107, "architecture_confidence": 63.014, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.22, "rotation_up": 27.29, "upward_expansion": 20.52, "deceleration": 66.0, "rotation_down": 40.19, "downward_expansion": 68.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.848, 12.746727, 13.888166, 14.873033 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 12.8, "trend_reference": 15.992128, "distance_from_trend": -0.199606, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.079583, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.250567, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.872177, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.349434, "excess_performance": -0.30623, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.199606, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053357, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.250567, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.287115, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.178722, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.244922, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.349434, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.737694, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31572507, "relative_activity": 0.941254, "balance": 0.737694, "dry_up": 1.07427, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090401, "annualized_volatility": 0.510709, "from_high_reference": -0.399132, "from_low_reference": 0.09029 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.992128, "fair_value_reference": 17.079583, "structural_low": 11.74, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.015287, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.380952, "median_excess_return": -0.018561, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.137, "worst_return": -0.128767, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.004762, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.064816, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.26742, "worst_return": -0.245799, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.033216, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.139555, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.05664, "worst_return": -0.169117, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -17.358867, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.148661, "energy": 80.846912, "activity_lines": [ 12.388, 12.965238, 14.602672, 15.500707 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.6, "volume": 41467460, "typical_volume": 36100348.6, "trend": 16.184391, "fair_value": 17.249471, "relative_strength": -17.15222, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.871791, "energy": 68.192454, "activity_lines": [ 12.437333, 12.760196, 14.302761, 15.264719 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.43, "volume": 36919321, "typical_volume": 35335358.45, "trend": 16.116732, "fair_value": 17.164012, "relative_strength": -11.797735, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.574925, "energy": 52.800839, "activity_lines": [ 12.798, 12.797273, 14.112275, 15.087016 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.8, "volume": 31572507, "typical_volume": 33543041.25, "trend": 15.992128, "fair_value": 17.079583, "relative_strength": -17.872177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.166769, "energy": 46.851726, "activity_lines": [ 12.848, 12.746727, 13.888166, 14.873033 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }