{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9aa7f5ff-4945-4389-b773-4c4207a8fcca", "symbol": "DEXC", "name": "DIMENSIONAL EMERGING MARKETS EX CHINA CORE EQUITY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 85.069, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 9.629, "architecture_energy": 17.852, "architecture_maturity": 65.503, "architecture_confidence": 83.127, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.97, "rotation_up": 16.63, "upward_expansion": 45.18, "deceleration": 87.87, "rotation_down": 39.69, "downward_expansion": 27.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.304347, 77.007919, 77.269678, 75.304903 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 76.6589, "trend_reference": 72.574247, "distance_from_trend": 0.056282, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.964832, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300078, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.682849, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.147218, "excess_performance": 0.021593, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056282, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094337, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.300078, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12302, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036828, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145806, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.147218, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.585386, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84165, "relative_activity": 0.865552, "balance": 0.585386, "dry_up": 0.854278, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064115, "annualized_volatility": 0.315083, "from_high_reference": -0.111306, "from_low_reference": 0.441894 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 72.574247, "fair_value_reference": 58.964832, "structural_low": 62.15, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"activity_lines": [ 78.434354, 79.213351, 77.195531, 74.696512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 74.3469, "volume": 43780, "typical_volume": 95606.7, "trend": 71.707522, "fair_value": 58.603043, "relative_strength": 5.7673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.839344, "energy": 21.201788, "activity_lines": [ 76.5883, 78.350994, 77.219735, 74.89715 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 73.47, "volume": 125469, "typical_volume": 96057.0, "trend": 72.101216, "fair_value": 58.768232, "relative_strength": 3.13522, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.108121, "energy": 18.118915, "activity_lines": [ 75.17184, 77.353628, 77.115649, 75.010858 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.6589, "volume": 84165, "typical_volume": 97238.5, "trend": 72.574247, "fair_value": 58.964832, "relative_strength": 3.682849, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.628792, "energy": 17.852341, "activity_lines": [ 75.304347, 77.007919, 77.269678, 75.304903 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }