{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9aa9ee20-1f17-4aa5-9259-f711d1537d91",
    "symbol": "DB33",
    "name": "Xtrackers - MSCI Pacific ex Japan UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.834,
    "architecture_energy": 90.949,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.501,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.525,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.57,
        "rotation_up": 85.57,
        "upward_expansion": 95.33,
        "deceleration": 41.84,
        "rotation_down": 8.05,
        "downward_expansion": 19.66
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        80.705097
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 85.010002,
    "trend_reference": 80.481667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.056265,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 70.831282,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.200176,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.803244,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.063955,
    "excess_performance": -0.110292,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056265,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022184,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.200176,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034612,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118032,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010175,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.063955,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.720855,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1524,
      "relative_activity": 3.462456,
      "balance": 2.720855,
      "dry_up": 1.731228,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01693,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.145483,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.160071
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 70.831282,
      "structural_low": 76.699997,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": -0.011367,
        "positive_rate": 0.413793,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.413793,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007321,
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        "worst_return": -0.060734,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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          81.104668,
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          80.384572,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 80.769997,
        "volume": 386,
        "typical_volume": 995.05,
        "trend": 78.416334,
        "fair_value": 69.296923,
        "relative_strength": -10.785761,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.376651,
        "energy": 29.01815,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.980666,
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          80.500286,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 79.779999,
        "volume": 386,
        "typical_volume": 974.75,
        "trend": 78.542333,
        "fair_value": 69.404872,
        "relative_strength": -11.223742,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.372693,
        "energy": 11.533651,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.439999,
          80.488363,
          80.494714,
          79.68714
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 79.650002,
        "volume": 1158,
        "typical_volume": 1032.65,
        "trend": 78.634334,
        "fair_value": 69.518397,
        "relative_strength": -12.853945,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.043172,
        "energy": 10.254519,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.066666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 79.669998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 913.85,
        "trend": 78.735,
        "fair_value": 69.628077,
        "relative_strength": -14.828756,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.879035,
        "energy": 9.940071,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.902666,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 77.489998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 874.25,
        "trend": 78.799667,
        "fair_value": 69.724359,
        "relative_strength": -15.871583,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -10.862922,
        "energy": 18.326076,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.027332,
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          79.745097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 79.190002,
        "volume": 386,
        "typical_volume": 893.55,
        "trend": 78.912,
        "fair_value": 69.823333,
        "relative_strength": -15.989677,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 23.233622,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 79.43,
        "volume": 386,
        "typical_volume": 893.05,
        "trend": 79.094333,
        "fair_value": 69.935192,
        "relative_strength": -18.746634,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.58471,
        "energy": 26.890326,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.024667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 78.370003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 833.65,
        "trend": 79.183667,
        "fair_value": 70.042307,
        "relative_strength": -17.874937,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.122271,
        "energy": 39.829811,
        "activity_lines": [
          78.786001,
          79.155273,
          79.748381,
          79.756968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 79.519997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 803.3,
        "trend": 79.324,
        "fair_value": 70.165577,
        "relative_strength": -18.241287,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -21.79063,
        "energy": 16.524598,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.016,
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          79.677095,
          79.778667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 80.959999,
        "volume": 381,
        "typical_volume": 644.15,
        "trend": 79.531,
        "fair_value": 70.287115,
        "relative_strength": -15.31406,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.448687,
        "energy": 9.323238,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.736,
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          79.751714,
          79.884215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 81.519997,
        "volume": 381,
        "typical_volume": 584.0,
        "trend": 79.745,
        "fair_value": 70.412948,
        "relative_strength": -12.707822,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.106131,
        "energy": 26.808618,
        "activity_lines": [
          80.411332,
          79.80309,
          79.890095,
          80.012537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 82.690002,
        "volume": 381,
        "typical_volume": 523.85,
        "trend": 79.962667,
        "fair_value": 70.536282,
        "relative_strength": -12.33942,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.63811,
        "energy": 58.942956,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.321333,
          80.372545,
          80.153571,
          80.202537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 82.949997,
        "volume": 762,
        "typical_volume": 542.15,
        "trend": 80.207667,
        "fair_value": 70.673974,
        "relative_strength": -11.68894,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.413013,
        "energy": 76.554868,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.100665,
          80.936363,
          80.432428,
          80.395268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 85.010002,
        "volume": 1524,
        "typical_volume": 440.15,
        "trend": 80.481667,
        "fair_value": 70.831282,
        "relative_strength": -11.803244,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.833657,
        "energy": 90.948822,
        "activity_lines": [
          83.261333,
          81.814727,
          80.894714,
          80.705097
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}