{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9abf00ab-712b-4ade-8cf8-cd5de8c1d0c7", "symbol": "CEPO", "name": "Cantor Equity Partners I, Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 59.192, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 46.593, "architecture_energy": 24.225, "architecture_maturity": 8.9, "architecture_confidence": 78.412, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.5, "rotation_up": 49.17, "upward_expansion": 78.27, "deceleration": 51.15, "rotation_down": 17.74, "downward_expansion": 2.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.658373, 10.631811, 10.612473, 10.588088 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 10.67, "trend_reference": 10.551257, "distance_from_trend": 0.011254, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.710427, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.003775, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.406747, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.023011, "excess_performance": -0.164443, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.011254, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006007, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.003775, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010939, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.114067, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079135, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023011, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.827729, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 116837, "relative_activity": 0.304013, "balance": 3.827729, "dry_up": 0.997363, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042246, "annualized_volatility": 0.024196, "from_high_reference": -0.029117, "from_low_reference": 0.298054 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.551257, "fair_value_reference": 10.710427, "structural_low": 8.22, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.003499, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-10", "close": 10.05, "volume": 9064038, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-17", "close": 10.07, "volume": 142467, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-01-24", 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null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.64, "volume": 332054, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.6328, "volume": 120780, "typical_volume": 329067.75, "trend": 10.527923, "fair_value": 10.712193, "relative_strength": -9.599258, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.841747, "energy": 16.111203, "activity_lines": [ 10.602933, 10.598804, 10.587749, 10.563407 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.66, "volume": 919063, "typical_volume": 372601.25, "trend": 10.53559, "fair_value": 10.711548, "relative_strength": -7.324767, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.268911, "energy": 18.514252, "activity_lines": [ 10.624747, 10.610655, 10.596466, 10.571928 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.66, "volume": 376529, "typical_volume": 387596.05, "trend": 10.543923, "fair_value": 10.71092, "relative_strength": -7.380168, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.003105, "energy": 22.549687, "activity_lines": [ 10.64456, 10.621051, 10.604422, 10.579954 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.67, "volume": 116837, "typical_volume": 384315.6, "trend": 10.551257, "fair_value": 10.710427, "relative_strength": -11.406747, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.593109, "energy": 24.225283, "activity_lines": [ 10.658373, 10.631811, 10.612473, 10.588088 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }