{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ac1f625-9f82-47c7-8c5b-507e0fa8db9f", "symbol": "MAHAPEXLTD", "name": "Maha Rashtra Apex Corporation Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.46, "architecture_energy": 59.098, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.719, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 28.71, "upward_expansion": 10.63, "deceleration": 60.8, "rotation_down": 52.52, "downward_expansion": 83.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.373333, 45.110181, 46.885428, 51.779019 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.380001, "trend_reference": 61.674904, "distance_from_trend": -0.28042, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 118.975686, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.626983, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -41.846458, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.541955, "excess_performance": -0.498246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.28042, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213319, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.626983, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048449, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.418465, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008072, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.541955, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.274623, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50552, "relative_activity": 0.581679, "balance": 0.274623, "dry_up": 0.34205, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085607, "annualized_volatility": 0.818321, "from_high_reference": -0.623547, "from_low_reference": 0.056667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.674904, "fair_value_reference": 118.975686, "structural_low": 42.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.020296, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.025201, "regime_survival": 0.846154, "best_return": 0.572099, "worst_return": -0.179158, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.062657, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.115395, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.622642, "worst_return": -0.223237, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.07445, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.034865, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.491586, "worst_return": -0.199177, "sufficient": true 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"direction": -75.920895, "energy": 83.822377, "activity_lines": [ 46.100666, 47.165636, 49.657292, 57.530113 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 44.439999, "volume": 21981, "typical_volume": 151969.8, "trend": 67.652238, "fair_value": 120.900815, "relative_strength": -43.72903, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.505363, "energy": 72.488658, "activity_lines": [ 45.315333, 46.474545, 48.642211, 55.899345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 43.529999, "volume": 18479, "typical_volume": 150231.6, "trend": 65.512904, "fair_value": 120.159981, "relative_strength": -42.738559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.393362, "energy": 68.283717, "activity_lines": [ 44.494666, 45.779818, 47.761843, 54.343072 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.919998, "volume": 27894, "typical_volume": 126909.85, "trend": 63.529904, "fair_value": 119.525494, "relative_strength": -41.5636, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.041045, "energy": 64.154328, "activity_lines": [ 44.453332, 45.468908, 47.307762, 53.014497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.380001, "volume": 50552, "typical_volume": 86907.0, "trend": 61.674904, "fair_value": 118.975686, "relative_strength": -41.846458, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.459672, "energy": 59.098086, "activity_lines": [ 44.373333, 45.110181, 46.885428, 51.779019 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }