{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9ac66c0d-d200-4adc-a23c-01d8610e2455",
    "symbol": "UPAB",
    "name": "iShares S&P 500 Paris-Aligned Climate UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 76.015,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 90.713,
    "architecture_energy": 66.624,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.419,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.875,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.3,
        "rotation_up": 65.2,
        "upward_expansion": 85.88,
        "deceleration": 53.37,
        "rotation_down": 24.11,
        "downward_expansion": 10.21
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        8.892932
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 9.544,
    "trend_reference": 8.712847,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.095394,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.358118,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297071,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.792299,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.129561,
    "excess_performance": 0.012899,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095394,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023231,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.297071,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019717,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.007923,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032696,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129561,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.616663,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13002,
      "relative_activity": 0.155198,
      "balance": 1.616663,
      "dry_up": 0.168784,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019287,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.146131,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001465,
      "from_low_reference": 0.237295
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 7.358118,
      "structural_low": 7.7136,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.012879,
        "positive_rate": 0.689655,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.689655,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003737,
        "regime_survival": 0.793103,
        "best_return": 0.06089,
        "worst_return": -0.045341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.058857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.015225,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 7.241878,
        "relative_strength": -3.263606,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 130607.25,
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        "fair_value": 7.264993,
        "relative_strength": -2.928119,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.700838,
        "energy": 49.407899,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 33870,
        "typical_volume": 129149.05,
        "trend": 8.655473,
        "fair_value": 7.287547,
        "relative_strength": -4.094174,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.543889,
        "energy": 53.431008,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.935063,
          8.788114
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 864,
        "typical_volume": 97709.1,
        "trend": 8.666627,
        "fair_value": 7.309171,
        "relative_strength": -4.832575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.432816,
        "energy": 46.281926,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.810277
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9.088,
        "volume": 8825,
        "typical_volume": 87566.35,
        "trend": 8.684227,
        "fair_value": 7.331867,
        "relative_strength": -4.566407,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.835325,
        "energy": 46.28869,
        "activity_lines": [
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          8.993568,
          8.837462
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 9.544,
        "volume": 13002,
        "typical_volume": 83777.1,
        "trend": 8.712847,
        "fair_value": 7.358118,
        "relative_strength": -0.792299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.713446,
        "energy": 66.623644,
        "activity_lines": [
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          9.064268,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}