{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9aded43a-5243-490e-a960-6cff44012d41", "symbol": "603326", "name": "Nanjing OLO Home Furnishing Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.835, "architecture_energy": 59.227, "architecture_maturity": 82.378, "architecture_confidence": 93.351, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 26.57, "upward_expansion": 10.8, "deceleration": 60.9, "rotation_down": 54.53, "downward_expansion": 84.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.244, 6.319455, 6.844988, 7.360878 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.52, "trend_reference": 8.021385, "distance_from_trend": -0.187173, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.293151, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106011, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -20.907138, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.335738, "excess_performance": -0.292534, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.187173, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.090044, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.106011, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242698, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.209071, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085712, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.335738, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.748886, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26678401, "relative_activity": 1.451613, "balance": 0.748886, "dry_up": 1.325802, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.086548, "annualized_volatility": 0.293361, "from_high_reference": -0.359145, "from_low_reference": 0.185455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.021385, "fair_value_reference": 7.293151, "structural_low": 5.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.00396, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.44, "median_excess_return": 0.01339, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.404715, "worst_return": -0.237685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.021795, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.028034, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.665806, "worst_return": -0.21564, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.028773, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.037423, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.307086, "worst_return": -0.270437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -76.57255, "energy": 87.651501, "activity_lines": [ 6.313333, 6.619194, 7.251622, 7.746291 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.71, "volume": 21638478, "typical_volume": 17301058.5, "trend": 8.169573, "fair_value": 7.297212, "relative_strength": -29.395853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.497159, "energy": 74.715142, "activity_lines": [ 6.092, 6.395818, 7.053776, 7.580948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.33, "volume": 32452687, "typical_volume": 18050414.85, "trend": 8.091505, "fair_value": 7.2949, "relative_strength": -21.566872, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.780239, "energy": 65.016118, "activity_lines": [ 6.136667, 6.325636, 6.933005, 7.462265 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.52, "volume": 26678401, "typical_volume": 18378454.9, "trend": 8.021385, "fair_value": 7.293151, "relative_strength": -20.907138, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.835195, "energy": 59.227064, "activity_lines": [ 6.244, 6.319455, 6.844988, 7.360878 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }