{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ae1e81f-e1fb-4096-a6f6-08fc2330536d", "symbol": "DIXON", "name": "Dixon Technologies (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.6, "architecture_energy": 86.451, "architecture_maturity": 26.619, "architecture_confidence": 85.059, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.03, "rotation_up": 82.05, "upward_expansion": 99.09, "deceleration": 39.43, "rotation_down": 9.65, "downward_expansion": 21.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 14054.2, 13499.0, 12634.17381, 12094.497849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 14200.0, "trend_reference": 11519.066667, "distance_from_trend": 0.232739, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11884.790117, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.194804, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.722834, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.234568, "excess_performance": 0.278277, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.232739, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019342, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.194804, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.228545, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.087228, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.281315, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.234568, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.922961, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1873687, "relative_activity": 0.77671, "balance": 5.922961, "dry_up": 1.032479, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06305, "annualized_volatility": 0.303601, "from_high_reference": -0.231227, "from_low_reference": 0.479167 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11519.066667, "fair_value_reference": 11884.790117, "structural_low": 9600.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": 0.045556, "positive_rate": 0.606061, "directional_follow_through": 0.606061, "median_excess_return": 0.036077, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.241004, "worst_return": -0.202839, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.090591, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": 0.012404, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.632524, "worst_return": -0.403956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.009363, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.100069, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.960672, "worst_return": -0.368033, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 2467628.4, "trend": 11442.466667, "fair_value": 11824.365504, "relative_strength": 8.10663, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.715746, "energy": 87.794807, "activity_lines": [ 13860.933333, 13228.690909, 12400.592857, 11916.592473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14200.0, "volume": 1873687, "typical_volume": 2412338.35, "trend": 11519.066667, "fair_value": 11884.790117, "relative_strength": 8.722834, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.600372, "energy": 86.450956, "activity_lines": [ 14054.2, 13499.0, 12634.17381, 12094.497849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }