{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ae24b1a-4b74-470a-b89b-826c82398686", "symbol": "XFFE", "name": "Xtrackers II USD Overnight Rate Swap UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.364, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 52.214, "architecture_energy": 46.974, "architecture_maturity": 66.084, "architecture_confidence": 57.615, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.32, "rotation_up": 48.83, "upward_expansion": 71.41, "deceleration": 62.41, "rotation_down": 25.9, "downward_expansion": 19.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 186.717267, 186.766617, 185.400646, 184.397595 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 185.722, "trend_reference": 182.928733, "distance_from_trend": 0.01527, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 181.579765, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.022812, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.563218, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.040973, "excess_performance": -0.023667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01527, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012244, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.022812, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020873, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.055632, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047681, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.040973, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.433616, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10788, "relative_activity": 1.030013, "balance": 1.433616, "dry_up": 1.123486, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.008113, "annualized_volatility": 0.061091, "from_high_reference": -0.109458, "from_low_reference": 0.060414 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 182.928733, "fair_value_reference": 181.579765, 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"close": 188.253998, "volume": 11809, "typical_volume": 13123.65, "trend": 182.5117, "fair_value": 181.378836, "relative_strength": 0.213828, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.202362, "energy": 89.331886, "activity_lines": [ 187.554131, 186.742543, 185.024979, 183.954227 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 186.425003, "volume": 11584, "typical_volume": 10904.25, "trend": 182.7631, "fair_value": 181.486105, "relative_strength": -2.723058, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.512583, "energy": 60.117825, "activity_lines": [ 187.220066, 186.843599, 185.249675, 184.206698 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 185.722, "volume": 10788, "typical_volume": 10473.65, "trend": 182.928733, "fair_value": 181.579765, "relative_strength": -5.563218, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.214408, "energy": 46.974093, "activity_lines": [ 186.717267, 186.766617, 185.400646, 184.397595 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }