{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9ae9279c-1a48-4022-9a37-2c6e6c24b0d3", "symbol": "CNE", "name": "MindChamps PreSchool Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 60.6, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -49.895, "architecture_energy": 47.748, "architecture_maturity": 5.45, "architecture_confidence": 94.5, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.74, "rotation_up": 17.03, "upward_expansion": 14.22, "deceleration": 34.02, "rotation_down": 57.99, "downward_expansion": 80.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1174, 0.118909, 0.121057, 0.121787 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.121, "trend_reference": 0.123233, "distance_from_trend": -0.018123, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.154378, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.216211, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.487339, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.039683, "excess_performance": -0.194518, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018123, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000811, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.216211, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.174873, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100692, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039683, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.319951, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6100, "relative_activity": 0.171807, "balance": 0.319951, "dry_up": 1.303338, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068659, "annualized_volatility": 0.269645, "from_high_reference": -0.187919, "from_low_reference": 0.174757 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.123233, "fair_value_reference": 0.154378, "structural_low": 0.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 43, "median_return": -0.01875, "positive_rate": 0.348837, "directional_follow_through": 0.581395, "median_excess_return": -0.026092, "regime_survival": 0.860465, "best_return": 0.170732, "worst_return": -0.134409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.046277, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.072113, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.550633, "worst_return": -0.166667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.108187, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.152438, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.05042, "worst_return": -0.208333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.261905, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.062992, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07563, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.067164, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 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0.122145, 0.122652, 0.123082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.116, "volume": 15600, "typical_volume": 35575.0, "trend": 0.123367, "fair_value": 0.155455, "relative_strength": -20.537282, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.253195, "energy": 36.847281, "activity_lines": [ 0.118933, 0.120727, 0.122019, 0.122598 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.113, "volume": 29500, "typical_volume": 35200.0, "trend": 0.1232, "fair_value": 0.155173, "relative_strength": -22.476849, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.344038, "energy": 54.190658, "activity_lines": [ 0.1166, 0.118964, 0.121133, 0.121929 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.121, "volume": 6100, "typical_volume": 35505.0, "trend": 0.123233, "fair_value": 0.154378, "relative_strength": -17.487339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.895164, "energy": 47.747785, "activity_lines": [ 0.1174, 0.118909, 0.121057, 0.121787 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }