{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9aef53aa-d2c8-4cd2-b2e1-28c3500cdbd0", "symbol": "LAOPALA", "name": "La Opala RG Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.918, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.801, "architecture_energy": 28.914, "architecture_maturity": 12.144, "architecture_confidence": 64.793, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.2, "rotation_up": 57.51, "upward_expansion": 44.93, "deceleration": 25.32, "rotation_down": 17.07, "downward_expansion": 17.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 186.372005, 184.220549, 181.252621, 182.066776 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 189.960007, "trend_reference": 185.001667, "distance_from_trend": 0.026802, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 273.82445, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.306271, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.776544, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.054925, "excess_performance": -0.011216, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026802, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051356, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.306271, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.063786, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.057765, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081018, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.054925, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.994081, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9754302, "relative_activity": 10.944002, "balance": 6.994081, "dry_up": 3.50118, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053926, "annualized_volatility": 0.233929, "from_high_reference": -0.286937, "from_low_reference": 0.171869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 185.001667, "fair_value_reference": 273.82445, "structural_low": 162.100006, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044395, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.009615, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.078948, "worst_return": -0.069713, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.024442, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.016785, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.175092, "worst_return": -0.303753, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.025554, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.012435, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.135175, 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0.142656, "energy": 9.213395, "activity_lines": [ 183.138666, 180.686365, 179.299191, 182.021506 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 184.350006, "volume": 735248, "typical_volume": 423417.4, "trend": 185.993, "fair_value": 276.805098, "relative_strength": -6.714748, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.803604, "energy": 12.751008, "activity_lines": [ 183.725335, 181.756002, 179.727763, 181.873119 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 184.350006, "volume": 392512, "typical_volume": 426749.55, "trend": 185.315334, "fair_value": 275.296191, "relative_strength": -8.378149, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.636691, "energy": 14.146418, "activity_lines": [ 184.25267, 182.605275, 180.215573, 181.767119 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 189.960007, "volume": 9754302, "typical_volume": 891292.05, "trend": 185.001667, "fair_value": 273.82445, "relative_strength": -5.776544, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.800873, "energy": 28.914058, "activity_lines": [ 186.372005, 184.220549, 181.252621, 182.066776 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }