{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9b081eca-65db-4e67-b92b-5ca26219388e",
    "symbol": "GRID",
    "name": "Tantalus Systems Holding Inc.",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 83.527,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -76.714,
    "architecture_energy": 76.351,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.355,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.744,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.18,
        "rotation_up": 9.11,
        "upward_expansion": 16.25,
        "deceleration": 37.72,
        "rotation_down": 80.91,
        "downward_expansion": 94.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.526,
        4.731818,
        5.133,
        5.159183
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 4.32,
    "trend_reference": 5.185667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.166934,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.613013,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.653264,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -16.688349,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.214545,
    "excess_performance": -0.334967,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166934,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030674,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.653264,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.999465,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166883,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.493178,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.214545,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.621816,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1421700,
      "relative_activity": 2.092921,
      "balance": 0.621816,
      "dry_up": 1.068579,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.10666,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.520271,
      "from_high_reference": -0.349398,
      "from_low_reference": 0.617978
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.185667,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.613013,
      "structural_low": 4.05,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.05,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.032903,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.05,
        "worst_return": 0.05,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.0375,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019393,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.0375,
        "worst_return": -0.0375,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.05,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002933,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.05,
        "worst_return": -0.05,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 1.325,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": 1.222622,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.325,
        "worst_return": 1.325,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-12-15",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.063291,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.011765,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.869048,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.083333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.270677,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.035088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.327778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.191837,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.145631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.167095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.310421,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.14404,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058252,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.050549,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.85,
        "volume": 78900,
        "typical_volume": 42280.0,
        "trend": 0.861333,
        "fair_value": 1.536136,
        "relative_strength": -4.203928,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.236851,
        "energy": 15.06782,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.811905,
          0.825204
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 0.83,
        "volume": 13000,
        "typical_volume": 38805.0,
        "trend": 0.855,
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        "energy": 19.015996,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
        "close": 0.84,
        "volume": 13200,
        "typical_volume": 37095.0,
        "trend": 0.850333,
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        "relative_strength": -7.172975,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 15.986401,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
        "close": 0.85,
        "volume": 28100,
        "typical_volume": 37425.0,
        "trend": 0.843667,
        "fair_value": 1.520667,
        "relative_strength": -3.304377,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 0.379583,
        "energy": 15.100551,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.818762,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
        "close": 0.83,
        "volume": 5000,
        "typical_volume": 34315.0,
        "trend": 0.836333,
        "fair_value": 1.515588,
        "relative_strength": -7.47946,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.324493,
        "energy": 11.378324,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.82,
          0.821312
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
        "close": 0.82,
        "volume": 9700,
        "typical_volume": 30675.0,
        "trend": 0.829333,
        "fair_value": 1.510511,
        "relative_strength": -4.142651,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 6.950767,
        "energy": 7.171608,
        "activity_lines": [
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          0.820258
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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        "volume": 27700,
        "typical_volume": 26755.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-06",
        "close": 0.76,
        "volume": 29600,
        "typical_volume": 27285.0,
        "trend": 0.816,
        "fair_value": 1.5,
        "relative_strength": -7.669234,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.186932,
        "energy": 33.979271,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-13",
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        "volume": 69500,
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        "trend": 0.812,
        "fair_value": 1.494286,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-20",
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        "volume": 36500,
        "typical_volume": 31555.0,
        "trend": 0.807667,
        "fair_value": 1.488652,
        "relative_strength": -13.580154,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.334533,
        "energy": 79.261147,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-27",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-11-03",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-17",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-11-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-01",
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        "typical_volume": 34650.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-08",
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        "typical_volume": 34775.0,
        "trend": 0.797333,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-15",
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        "typical_volume": 34750.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-22",
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        "typical_volume": 29690.0,
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        "date": "2023-12-29",
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        "date": "2024-01-05",
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        "typical_volume": 25920.0,
        "trend": 0.794667,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 16.49453,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "volume": 25300,
        "typical_volume": 26535.0,
        "trend": 0.794,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "volume": 4100,
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        "trend": 0.795333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-26",
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        "volume": 74000,
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          5.200571,
          5.042043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 5.97,
        "volume": 1035200,
        "typical_volume": 778495.0,
        "trend": 4.84,
        "fair_value": 2.250513,
        "relative_strength": 32.62944,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.723856,
        "energy": 80.060633,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.069333,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.75,
        "volume": 997600,
        "typical_volume": 823900.0,
        "trend": 4.915333,
        "fair_value": 2.281923,
        "relative_strength": 27.129688,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.967245,
        "energy": 70.992956,
        "activity_lines": [
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          5.17843
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 754300,
        "typical_volume": 854825.0,
        "trend": 4.977333,
        "fair_value": 2.315256,
        "relative_strength": 29.404939,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.797036,
        "energy": 51.578316,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 6.11,
        "volume": 599300,
        "typical_volume": 867280.0,
        "trend": 5.031333,
        "fair_value": 2.349295,
        "relative_strength": 28.252995,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.251183,
        "energy": 45.590941,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.016667,
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          5.503667,
          5.324065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 5.71,
        "volume": 195200,
        "typical_volume": 855365.0,
        "trend": 5.090667,
        "fair_value": 2.380641,
        "relative_strength": 19.857111,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.710274,
        "energy": 32.685278,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.905333,
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          5.540714,
          5.367849
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 5.04,
        "volume": 93800,
        "typical_volume": 825260.0,
        "trend": 5.132,
        "fair_value": 2.407564,
        "relative_strength": 3.579245,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.846535,
        "energy": 15.546813,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.613333,
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          5.510571,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 5.13,
        "volume": 27400,
        "typical_volume": 798840.0,
        "trend": 5.172333,
        "fair_value": 2.435577,
        "relative_strength": 4.682302,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.360832,
        "energy": 17.650177,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.413333,
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          5.490476,
          5.364452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 5.17,
        "volume": 52900,
        "typical_volume": 732795.0,
        "trend": 5.201,
        "fair_value": 2.463718,
        "relative_strength": 4.949741,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.473287,
        "energy": 22.785968,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.268,
          5.539455,
          5.47719,
          5.364301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 5.15,
        "volume": 38000,
        "typical_volume": 703385.0,
        "trend": 5.230333,
        "fair_value": 2.491795,
        "relative_strength": 3.254494,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.041584,
        "energy": 25.838263,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.174,
          5.433818,
          5.463571,
          5.361011
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 4.85,
        "volume": 640700,
        "typical_volume": 717480.0,
        "trend": 5.224,
        "fair_value": 2.517821,
        "relative_strength": -3.018732,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.000495,
        "energy": 37.713843,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.044,
          5.289818,
          5.422286,
          5.336473
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 4.55,
        "volume": 499200,
        "typical_volume": 712965.0,
        "trend": 5.214333,
        "fair_value": 2.542051,
        "relative_strength": -8.96245,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -40.910415,
        "energy": 56.020392,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.871333,
          5.118545,
          5.353143,
          5.292989
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 4.58,
        "volume": 500900,
        "typical_volume": 676425.0,
        "trend": 5.208333,
        "fair_value": 2.56641,
        "relative_strength": -8.814907,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.382694,
        "energy": 59.397251,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.741333,
          4.978545,
          5.28681,
          5.252065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.65,
        "volume": 481700,
        "typical_volume": 671785.0,
        "trend": 5.201333,
        "fair_value": 2.590705,
        "relative_strength": -7.313366,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.703479,
        "energy": 59.999888,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.671333,
          4.872545,
          5.22681,
          5.216043
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.32,
        "volume": 1421700,
        "typical_volume": 679290.0,
        "trend": 5.185667,
        "fair_value": 2.613013,
        "relative_strength": -16.688349,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.714273,
        "energy": 76.351377,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.526,
          4.731818,
          5.133,
          5.159183
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}