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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 54.008, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.507, "architecture_energy": 19.493, "architecture_maturity": 48.997, "architecture_confidence": 73.098, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.85, "rotation_up": 27.91, "upward_expansion": 61.06, "deceleration": 87.77, "rotation_down": 27.78, "downward_expansion": 13.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 26874.0, 27119.272727, 26641.5, 26383.72043 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 26740.0, "trend_reference": 26211.166667, "distance_from_trend": 0.020176, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23287.808969, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.14824, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.160548, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.011921, "excess_performance": -0.217908, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020176, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014842, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.14824, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062031, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.161605, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.291625, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.011921, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.910202, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22633, "relative_activity": 0.81006, "balance": 0.910202, "dry_up": 0.992362, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.051838, "annualized_volatility": 0.169899, "from_high_reference": -0.104338, "from_low_reference": 0.279223 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26211.166667, "fair_value_reference": 23287.808969, 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"up", "direction": 60.499723, "energy": 63.958346, "activity_lines": [ 27590.333333, 27160.090909, 26438.619048, 26264.15914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 26900.0, "volume": 29432, "typical_volume": 27519.1, "trend": 26188.333333, "fair_value": 23205.850711, "relative_strength": -22.590554, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.797233, "energy": 49.069102, "activity_lines": [ 27411.666667, 27188.0, 26519.285714, 26311.623656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26785.0, "volume": 25269, "typical_volume": 27838.25, "trend": 26219.166667, "fair_value": 23248.1248, "relative_strength": -20.995898, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.631533, "energy": 23.078661, "activity_lines": [ 27131.333333, 27165.636364, 26585.238095, 26350.11828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26740.0, "volume": 22633, "typical_volume": 27939.9, "trend": 26211.166667, "fair_value": 23287.808969, "relative_strength": -16.160548, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.507296, "energy": 19.493428, "activity_lines": [ 26874.0, 27119.272727, 26641.5, 26383.72043 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }