{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b15c85a-1e77-4961-af65-9cda39a74be1", "symbol": "C6L", "name": "Singapore Airlines Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.267, "architecture_energy": 60.83, "architecture_maturity": 64.423, "architecture_confidence": 70.326, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 56.56, "upward_expansion": 84.78, "deceleration": 68.59, "rotation_down": 24.94, "downward_expansion": 11.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.630667, 7.582182, 7.251095, 7.080409 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.6, "trend_reference": 6.888667, "distance_from_trend": 0.103261, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.228034, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220289, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -4.51375, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134328, "excess_performance": -0.020507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103261, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054678, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.220289, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.189595, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.045138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081037, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.134328, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.277133, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30349100, "relative_activity": 1.078468, "balance": 2.277133, "dry_up": 1.330586, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034514, "annualized_volatility": 0.186515, "from_high_reference": -0.040404, "from_low_reference": 0.223833 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.888667, "fair_value_reference": 6.228034, "structural_low": 6.21, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.002393, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.00262, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.122449, "worst_return": -0.077651, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.02649, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.022815, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.25765, "worst_return": -0.127809, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.001571, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.001763, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.320583, "worst_return": -0.071552, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.7, "volume": 49337200, "typical_volume": 28188246.2, "trend": 6.849667, "fair_value": 6.220236, "relative_strength": -2.307353, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.321199, "energy": 67.506692, "activity_lines": [ 7.646, 7.544182, 7.189238, 7.032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.6, "volume": 30349100, "typical_volume": 28140931.2, "trend": 6.888667, "fair_value": 6.228034, "relative_strength": -4.51375, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.267184, "energy": 60.829967, "activity_lines": [ 7.630667, 7.582182, 7.251095, 7.080409 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }