{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b1f18c6-2ca4-44a4-a78b-2370e4589c6b", "symbol": "601369", "name": "Xi'an Shaangu Power Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 59.113, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -12.338, "architecture_energy": 12.902, "architecture_maturity": 32.179, "architecture_confidence": 72.425, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.45, "rotation_up": 33.77, "upward_expansion": 27.94, "deceleration": 47.08, "rotation_down": 21.02, "downward_expansion": 47.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.380667, 9.241818, 9.196189, 9.463797 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.53, "trend_reference": 9.82292, "distance_from_trend": -0.02982, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.260096, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.15374, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.558148, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.106004, "excess_performance": -0.0628, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.02982, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013491, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.15374, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033507, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.015581, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112681, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.106004, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.956459, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85335170, "relative_activity": 1.475318, "balance": 0.956459, "dry_up": 2.114304, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067299, "annualized_volatility": 0.35061, "from_high_reference": -0.240637, "from_low_reference": 0.179066 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.82292, "fair_value_reference": 8.260096, "structural_low": 8.22, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.021138, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.02037, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.315265, "worst_return": -0.094488, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.049983, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.045116, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.22677, "worst_return": -0.0046, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.086229, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.008564, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.277655, "worst_return": -0.159892, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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9.099974, 9.232155, 9.568384 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.87, "volume": 149294860, "typical_volume": 60932157.4, "trend": 9.873254, "fair_value": 8.240696, "relative_strength": -2.318834, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.314438, "energy": 27.291791, "activity_lines": [ 9.11, 9.066016, 9.163262, 9.501357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.6, "volume": 91220334, "typical_volume": 57894919.25, "trend": 9.83892, "fair_value": 8.249594, "relative_strength": 5.180821, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.814377, "energy": 14.927064, "activity_lines": [ 9.275333, 9.167697, 9.178511, 9.483728 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.53, "volume": 85335170, "typical_volume": 57841864.7, "trend": 9.82292, "fair_value": 8.260096, "relative_strength": 1.558148, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.338433, "energy": 12.902254, "activity_lines": [ 9.380667, 9.241818, 9.196189, 9.463797 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }