{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b1fa2c6-614c-4f37-9a46-988a4809adf6", "symbol": "VHI", "name": "Vitalhub Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 90.081, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -16.325, "architecture_energy": 14.321, "architecture_maturity": 87.002, "architecture_confidence": 69.651, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.24, "rotation_up": 22.65, "upward_expansion": 10.16, "deceleration": 56.04, "rotation_down": 36.39, "downward_expansion": 66.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.204, 7.182909, 7.263571, 7.364538 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.89, "trend_reference": 7.591667, "distance_from_trend": 0.039297, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.176506, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03504, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.76482, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.025926, "excess_performance": -0.146347, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.039297, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.086002, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.03504, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061428, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.217648, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079004, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.025926, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.183376, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1306800, "relative_activity": 0.971703, "balance": 1.183376, "dry_up": 0.85275, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068734, "annualized_volatility": 0.443698, "from_high_reference": -0.435622, "from_low_reference": 0.221362 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.591667, "fair_value_reference": 8.176506, "structural_low": 6.46, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.030038, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.017012, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.147776, "worst_return": -0.10375, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.056054, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.170167, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.202429, "worst_return": -0.150831, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.255036, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.165607, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.708502, "worst_return": -0.19843, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0448, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.581197, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.18239, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.101695, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.116576, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"down", "direction": -50.199609, "energy": 30.501541, "activity_lines": [ 7.226667, 7.26, 7.376476, 7.574065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.31, "volume": 961000, "typical_volume": 1406110.0, "trend": 7.878333, "fair_value": 8.059327, "relative_strength": -30.756997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.955535, "energy": 23.217204, "activity_lines": [ 7.264667, 7.250727, 7.358095, 7.534215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.1, "volume": 1101800, "typical_volume": 1387385.0, "trend": 7.807, "fair_value": 8.08875, "relative_strength": -31.578072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.183522, "energy": 24.591244, "activity_lines": [ 7.223333, 7.215818, 7.325, 7.484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.58, "volume": 1132300, "typical_volume": 1389335.0, "trend": 7.722333, "fair_value": 8.114968, "relative_strength": -35.53752, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.137726, "energy": 39.355529, "activity_lines": [ 7.014, 7.102727, 7.247524, 7.404839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.84, "volume": 1046400, "typical_volume": 1371265.0, "trend": 7.632333, "fair_value": 8.142981, "relative_strength": -31.315288, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.484999, "energy": 49.806711, "activity_lines": [ 6.922667, 7.044545, 7.203381, 7.347914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.89, "volume": 1306800, "typical_volume": 1344855.0, "trend": 7.591667, "fair_value": 8.176506, "relative_strength": -21.76482, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.324856, "energy": 14.320838, "activity_lines": [ 7.204, 7.182909, 7.263571, 7.364538 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }