{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "9b24f5de-f1c8-453b-9f8d-990c5bfb4d60",
    "symbol": "MGN",
    "name": "Magnora ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 48.574,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -22.285,
    "architecture_energy": 28.289,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.298,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.08,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 34.99,
        "rotation_up": 18.5,
        "upward_expansion": 16.94,
        "deceleration": 62.12,
        "rotation_down": 57.33,
        "downward_expansion": 44.27
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.15,
        23.462727,
        25.249524,
        25.094839
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 23.4,
    "trend_reference": 24.36,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.039409,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 24.239455,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034632,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.456661,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.149877,
    "excess_performance": 0.024883,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039409,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0617,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034632,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.279184,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.084567,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.247987,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149877,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.706269,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1201380,
      "relative_activity": 0.863011,
      "balance": 0.706269,
      "dry_up": 0.882751,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.099112,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.499239,
      "from_high_reference": -0.301493,
      "from_low_reference": 0.270358
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.36,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.239455,
      "structural_low": 19.76,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.025743,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004615,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.093364,
        "worst_return": -0.096197,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.02016,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030555,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.13408,
        "worst_return": -0.100671,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.058166,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067305,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.083681,
        "worst_return": 0.023224,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.002597,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.131749,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.002597,
        "worst_return": 0.002597,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.009398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.151631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.058957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.136522,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010183,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.023256,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034971,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.096197,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.073232,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.129353,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.002114,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006316,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004255,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028571,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 24.819229,
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        "typical_volume": 1131765.1,
        "trend": 21.357726,
        "fair_value": 18.085,
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 24.272712,
        "relative_strength": -4.972885,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.957161,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1112479,
        "typical_volume": 1446463.5,
        "trend": 24.067,
        "fair_value": 24.261482,
        "relative_strength": -9.181731,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.605697,
        "energy": 38.074179,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.413333,
          24.786364,
          25.99,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 24.049999,
        "volume": 1136914,
        "typical_volume": 1450236.0,
        "trend": 24.218,
        "fair_value": 24.258848,
        "relative_strength": -5.97308,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.282272,
        "energy": 33.275419,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.59,
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          25.830238,
          25.279548
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22.25,
        "volume": 1464662,
        "typical_volume": 1441346.35,
        "trend": 24.295,
        "fair_value": 24.245729,
        "relative_strength": -13.011323,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.257819,
        "energy": 37.751702,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.13,
          23.737273,
          25.484048,
          25.152581
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23.4,
        "volume": 1201380,
        "typical_volume": 1392079.05,
        "trend": 24.36,
        "fair_value": 24.239455,
        "relative_strength": -8.456661,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.284599,
        "energy": 28.289277,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.15,
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          25.249524,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}