{ "ticker": { "uuid": "9b2eb28b-0b1d-4f92-ac53-667cb82ebd0b", "symbol": "COSO", "name": "CoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 75.146, "architecture_energy": 58.269, "architecture_maturity": 41.981, "architecture_confidence": 79.857, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.73, "rotation_up": 67.72, "upward_expansion": 84.69, "deceleration": 50.0, "rotation_down": 16.52, "downward_expansion": 9.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.406, 27.115455, 26.584175, 26.102406 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 28.04, "trend_reference": 25.496347, "distance_from_trend": 0.099765, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.232326, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385901, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.746081, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.106154, "excess_performance": -0.019471, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.099765, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056809, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.385901, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044469, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.037461, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023307, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.106154, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.650603, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 445125, "relative_activity": 0.859523, "balance": 1.650603, "dry_up": 0.691287, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039013, "annualized_volatility": 0.134558, "from_high_reference": -0.007434, "from_low_reference": 0.463182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.496347, "fair_value_reference": 20.232326, "structural_low": 23.3541, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.009615, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": 0.001468, "regime_survival": 0.689655, "best_return": 0.07113, "worst_return": -0.083727, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.008622, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.007357, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.189112, "worst_return": -0.104391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.01294, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010366, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.206304, "worst_return": -0.153824, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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25.828587, 25.435861 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 26.42, "volume": 491614, "typical_volume": 546181.15, "trend": 25.006108, "fair_value": 19.899511, "relative_strength": 0.85232, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.214107, "energy": 45.352006, "activity_lines": [ 26.658667, 26.412169, 25.929231, 25.532531 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 27.06, "volume": 412639, "typical_volume": 548776.8, "trend": 25.099991, "fair_value": 19.981223, "relative_strength": 4.773429, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.193501, "energy": 46.030234, "activity_lines": [ 26.776667, 26.574545, 26.08464, 25.66504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 27.09, "volume": 289901, "typical_volume": 547796.55, "trend": 25.190559, "fair_value": 20.063573, "relative_strength": 5.334004, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.874827, "energy": 44.443714, "activity_lines": [ 26.897333, 26.719273, 26.230725, 25.793428 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.27, "volume": 284335, "typical_volume": 543881.2, "trend": 25.330287, "fair_value": 20.145482, "relative_strength": 4.692393, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.945834, "energy": 44.978213, "activity_lines": [ 27.037333, 26.861818, 26.378919, 25.927586 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.04, "volume": 445125, "typical_volume": 517874.5, "trend": 25.496347, "fair_value": 20.232326, "relative_strength": 3.746081, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.145522, "energy": 58.269243, "activity_lines": [ 27.406, 27.115455, 26.584175, 26.102406 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }